Position 1 is checker play at gammon go. Positions 2, 3 and 4 are cube action after the same checker play at -4-5. If you compare the rollout data of Positions 2, 3 and 4, you should be able to determine the best play, assuming the rollouts are accurate.
Position 1.
         
 
         
 | | White is peever
score: 1
pip: 152 | 2 point match
Crawford | pip: 160
score: 0
Blue is Michel1 |
|
| XGID=-b--B-CBB---cDa--d-e--B---:0:0:-1:41:1:0:1:2:10 |
| Blue to play 41 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/20 6/5 | eq: -0.091 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 37.32% (G:8.14% B:0.68%)
62.68% (G:27.74% B:5.52%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.096...-0.085) - [100.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 46 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/23 24/20 | eq: -0.125 (-0.034) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 36.13% (G:7.60% B:0.52%)
63.87% (G:25.28% B:3.36%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.130...-0.121) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 11/7 8/7 | eq: -0.150 (-0.059) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 34.71% (G:7.80% B:0.67%)
65.29% (G:24.44% B:3.85%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.155...-0.145) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 46 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 2.
  
    
| | White is Michel1
score: 0
pip: 155 | | 5 point match | pip: 152
score: 1
Blue is peever |
|
| XGID=-a--BaCBB---cDa--d-da-B---:0:0:1:00:1:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 63.07% (G:25.63% B:2.85%) | 63.21% (G:26.19% B:4.51%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 36.93% (G:8.20% B:0.45%) | 36.79% (G:8.45% B:0.84%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.545 | +1.335 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.718 (-0.121) | ±0.006 (+0.712..+0.724) |
| Double/Take: | +0.839 | ±0.009 (+0.830..+0.848) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.161) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take |
| Rollout details |
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 6 hours 26 minutes |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 3.
| | White is Michel1
score: 0
pip: 155 | | 5 point match | pip: 152
score: 1
Blue is peever |
|
| XGID=--a-BaCBB---cDa--d-e--B---:0:0:1:00:1:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 64.35% (G:21.66% B:1.46%) | 64.51% (G:22.99% B:2.44%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 35.65% (G:7.90% B:0.40%) | 35.49% (G:8.31% B:0.80%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.505 | +1.285 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.704 (-0.140) | ±0.005 (+0.699..+0.709) |
| Double/Take: | +0.844 | ±0.009 (+0.836..+0.853) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.156) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take |
| Rollout details |
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 5 hours 18 minutes |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 4.
| | White is Michel1
score: 0
pip: 155 | | 5 point match | pip: 152
score: 1
Blue is peever |
|
| XGID=-b--B-CBB---cD---cbe--B---:0:0:1:00:1:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 65.99% (G:20.73% B:1.69%) | 65.99% (G:21.44% B:2.74%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 34.01% (G:7.93% B:0.42%) | 34.01% (G:7.97% B:0.49%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.528 | +1.313 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.796 (-0.093) | ±0.011 (+0.786..+0.807) |
| Double/Take: | +0.889 | ±0.017 (+0.872..+0.906) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.111) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take |
| Rollout details |
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 1 hour 15 minutes |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2