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BGonline.org Forums
Our 55 - Rollout
Posted By: Timothy Chow In Response To: Our 55 - Rollout (Stick)
Date: Thursday, 1 March 2012, at 1:43 a.m.
There's no simple solution to this problem. Let's say Jason tries your protocol. That is, he looks at the position, types out his thoughts and his vote (but saves it as a private file without posting it just yet), and then sees what the computer says. If the play looks obvious to him and the computer agrees, does he next it? Maybe only if the EMG difference between the top two plays is large? Or small? None of these algorithms is guaranteed to work. For example:
1. Say he nexts only if the play looks obvious, the computer agrees, and the EMG difference between the top two plays is large. Then he won't next boring bear-in rolls like the one you just posted.
2. Say he nexts only if the play looks obvious, the computer agrees, and the EMG difference between the top two plays is small, so there's not much equity at stake. Then he risks nexting plays like the 55 you just posted about. He might have thought the play was obvious, and when the bot spit out a second candidate, he might have figured that the equity at stake was small anyway, so why bother voting?
3. Or suppose you only next plays where it's obvious that everyone will vote the same way. Then you won't next the boring bear-in rolls, because people probably won't all vote the same way. Maybe you only next plays where it's obvious that everyone will vote the same way, unless the equity at stake is small? But then we're back to the 55 example again.
Nexting decisions are judgments about what decisions are interesting. And there's no accounting for taste.
The upshot is, I'd say you quit bitching and just let Jason run the OLM his own way.
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