Looks like the top three plays are all close.
          
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 148 | | 9 point match | pip: 194
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a----D-Ca--dD---b-eb-AAAA:1:1:1:22:0:0:0:9:10 |
| Blue to play 22 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 24/22 23/21 | eq: -0.154 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 40.33% (G:7.73% B:0.29%)
59.67% (G:17.41% B:0.75%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.158...-0.150)
Duration: 12 minutes 28 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 24/22 6/4(2) | eq: -0.157 (-0.003) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.55% (G:8.49% B:0.33%)
58.45% (G:21.02% B:1.41%) | Conf: ± 0.005 (-0.162...-0.152)
Duration: 12 minutes 33 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 24/22 13/9* | eq: -0.159 (-0.005) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.30% (G:9.21% B:0.40%)
58.70% (G:21.25% B:1.40%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.163...-0.155)
Duration: 13 minutes 19 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 24/22 13/11(2) | eq: -0.199 (-0.045) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 40.11% (G:8.16% B:0.32%)
59.89% (G:21.27% B:1.46%) | Conf: ± 0.005 (-0.204...-0.194)
Duration: 13 minutes 57 seconds |
|
| |
1 Truncated at 7 moves using 3 ply.
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
     
    
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 147 | | 9 point match | pip: 131
score: 2
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a--BbCBCA--cB--B--ccba---:1:1:1:66:2:0:0:9:10 |
| Blue to play 66 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 16/10(2) 13/7(2) | eq: +0.696 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 69.07% (G:12.62% B:0.57%)
30.93% (G:5.51% B:0.14%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 16/10(2) 7/1*(2) | eq: +0.608 (-0.088) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 67.85% (G:13.83% B:0.50%)
32.15% (G:6.44% B:0.23%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 13/1*(2) | eq: +0.484 (-0.212) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 64.25% (G:13.88% B:0.42%)
35.75% (G:7.34% B:0.22%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
With the opponent owning the cube on 2:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 147 | | 9 point match | pip: 131
score: 2
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a--BbCBCA--cB--B--ccba---:1:-1:1:66:2:0:0:9:10 |
| Blue to play 66 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 16/10(2) 13/7(2) | eq: +0.294 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 69.22% (G:12.24% B:0.57%)
30.78% (G:5.59% B:0.14%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 16/10(2) 7/1*(2) | eq: +0.261 (-0.033) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 67.94% (G:13.64% B:0.49%)
32.06% (G:6.62% B:0.24%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 13/1*(2) | eq: +0.167 (-0.127) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 64.34% (G:14.21% B:0.44%)
35.66% (G:7.45% B:0.23%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
 
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 163 | 9 point match
Crawford | pip: 148
score: 8
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-aaa-BCCBA--cB-b-b-b--bAaA:0:0:1:51:8:0:1:9:10 |
| Blue to play 51 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | Bar/20 9/8 | eq: +0.364 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 68.81% (G:24.46% B:1.84%)
31.19% (G:7.79% B:0.23%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | Bar/24* 23/18 | eq: +0.317 (-0.047) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 66.49% (G:28.55% B:2.76%)
33.51% (G:7.16% B:0.32%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | Bar/24* 7/2* | eq: +0.300 (-0.064) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 65.75% (G:30.32% B:3.24%)
34.25% (G:7.97% B:0.44%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | Bar/20 6/5 | eq: +0.283 (-0.081) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 64.92% (G:22.01% B:1.53%)
35.08% (G:9.01% B:0.35%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | Bar/24* 9/4 | eq: +0.281 (-0.083) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 64.76% (G:26.94% B:2.47%)
35.24% (G:7.85% B:0.37%) | |
|
| 6. | XG Roller+ | Bar/20 7/6 | eq: +0.280 (-0.083) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 64.83% (G:22.58% B:1.53%)
35.17% (G:9.33% B:0.37%) | |
|
| 7. | XG Roller+ | Bar/24* 6/1* | eq: +0.263 (-0.101) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.91% (G:29.10% B:2.42%)
36.09% (G:8.36% B:0.40%) | |
|
| 8. | XG Roller+ | Bar/24* 8/3* | eq: +0.246 (-0.117) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.22% (G:30.62% B:3.72%)
36.78% (G:8.64% B:0.62%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross