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Rollout: Not quite your standard cube

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 3 March 2012, at 12:13 a.m.

In Response To: Not quite your standard cube (Timothy Chow)

I thought this would be a clear take but it seems that White has too much of an uphill battle to fight here.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 152
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 135
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=--aBaBD-B---cC---ccdB-----:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 68.41% (G: 26.09% B: 0.63%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.59% (G: 4.99% B: 0.18%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.82% (G: 29.59% B: 0.60%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.18% (G: 4.93% B: 0.20%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.368
Double:+1.254
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.763 (-0.237)
Double/Take:+1.007 (+0.007)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
3777 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.008 (+0.756...+0.771)
Confidence Double: ± 0.014 (+0.993...+1.020)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 82.7%
Duration: 8 hours 56 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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