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Cube Action at -4-4, 65 Checker Play (Peever Whopper)

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Saturday, 3 March 2012, at 3:11 p.m.

In Response To: Cube Action at -4-4, 65 Checker Play (Peever Whopper) (Paul Weaver)

White's gammonless 2-cube takepoint ATS is around 29%, the 2-cube gammon values are around 100% for each player, and Blue's 4-cube takepoint is around 33%. If White takes and recubes to 4 on his next shake, his takepoint will be his MWC if he passes (approx 42.5%).

Does White have a take? The race is close, Blue is short on checkers in the zone, and Blue's position might be difficult to play. OTOH 1)White has a weak board with big stacks on his mid and 6-points; 2)Blue does have 10 strong pointing numbers plus some others that make another inner board point. I'll guess that Blue wins a net of about 18% gammons here which raises the takepoint to 47%. Recube vig is huge ATS and I think that brings White's takepoint down to around 36%.

Does White win this often? I think so but it's close so D/T looks right to me.

With the 65, I'd just make the ace point.

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