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Scrambling two checkers

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 3 March 2012, at 8:26 p.m.

In Response To: Scrambling two checkers (Timothy Chow)

JOH nailed this one. 20/9 is better at DMP but if we're holding the cube then we don't want to lose our double by getting hit.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 111 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 52 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aEDD---A------b--bbcAc-b--:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	60.72% (G: 8.13% B: 0.04%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	39.28% (G: 3.29% B: 0.13%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0.262
Redouble:	+0.536
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0.440
Redouble/Take:	+0.258 (-0.182)
Redouble/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.560)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 111 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 52 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aEDD---A------b--bbcAc-b--:1:1:1:65:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 65

1.	Rollout1	20/15 7/1	eq: +0.769
	Player: Opponent: 72.17% (G:6.20% B:0.01%) 27.83% (G:1.21% B:0.03%) Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.766...+0.772) Duration: 2 hours 36 minutes
2.	Rollout1	20/9	eq: +0.654 (-0.115)
	Player: Opponent: 75.39% (G:6.73% B:0.00%) 24.61% (G:2.03% B:0.06%) Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.650...+0.658) Duration: 4 hours 17 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 111 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 52 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aEDD---A------b--bbcAc-b--:1:-1:1:65:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 65

1.	Rollout1	20/9	eq: +0.456
	Player: Opponent: 75.45% (G:6.83% B:0.00%) 24.55% (G:2.03% B:0.06%) Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.452...+0.460) Duration: 5 hours 34 minutes
2.	Rollout1	20/15 7/1	eq: +0.379 (-0.077)
	Player: Opponent: 72.31% (G:6.16% B:0.01%) 27.69% (G:1.01% B:0.03%) Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.375...+0.383) Duration: 4 hours 42 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Messages In This Thread

• Scrambling two checkers
  Timothy Chow -- Friday, 2 March 2012, at 4:33 p.m.
  • Scrambling two checkers
    John O'Hagan -- Friday, 2 March 2012, at 6:32 p.m.
    • Scrambling two checkers
      neilkaz -- Friday, 2 March 2012, at 7:59 p.m.
  • Scrambling two checkers
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 3 March 2012, at 8:26 p.m.