BGonline.org Forums

6 rollouts

Posted By: mtuhtan
Date: Sunday, 4 March 2012, at 1:06 p.m.

In Response To: 61, depending on cube position (mtuhtan)

1. centered cube:

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 74 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 100 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=--BBBBCb---B----B--abbbbd-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 61

1. Rollout1 16/10 6/5 eq: -0,090 Player: Opponent: 44,62% (G:9,41% B:0,41%) 55,38% (G:13,11% B:0,08%) Conf.: ± 0,004 (-0,094...-0,086) - [100,0%] Duration: 1 minute 14 seconds 2. Rollout1 16/9 eq: -0,099 (-0,010) Player: Opponent: 44,65% (G:9,56% B:0,43%) 55,35% (G:10,80% B:0,06%) Conf.: ± 0,004 (-0,103...-0,096) - [0,0%] Duration: 1 minute 09 seconds 3. XG Roller++ 16/15 16/10 eq: -0,119 (-0,029) Player: Opponent: 44,38% (G:9,11% B:0,43%) 55,62% (G:12,41% B:0,07%) 4. XG Roller++ 11/4 eq: -0,143 (-0,053) Player: Opponent: 44,49% (G:9,41% B:0,37%) 55,51% (G:6,21% B:0,02%) 5. XG Roller++ 16/10 11/10 eq: -0,150 (-0,061) Player: Opponent: 42,40% (G:9,35% B:0,43%) 57,60% (G:11,64% B:0,06%) 1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 92105138 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02

---

2. Player owns the cube

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 74 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 100 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=--BBBBCb---B----B--abbbbd-:1:1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 61

1. Rollout1 11/4 eq: +0,044 Player: Opponent: 44,17% (G:9,72% B:0,39%) 55,83% (G:6,12% B:0,01%) Conf.: ± 0,005 (+0,039...+0,049) - [100,0%] Duration: 36,9 seconds 2. Rollout1 11/5 6/5 eq: +0,028 (-0,016) Player: Opponent: 43,73% (G:9,33% B:0,38%) 56,27% (G:6,22% B:0,01%) Conf.: ± 0,005 (+0,023...+0,033) - [0,0%] Duration: 35,4 seconds 3. XG Roller++ 16/9 eq: +0,007 (-0,037) Player: Opponent: 44,29% (G:9,79% B:0,44%) 55,71% (G:11,62% B:0,06%) 4. XG Roller++ 11/10 11/5 eq: -0,003 (-0,047) Player: Opponent: 43,05% (G:8,73% B:0,38%) 56,95% (G:5,69% B:0,02%) 5. XG Roller++ 16/10 6/5 eq: -0,027 (-0,071) Player: Opponent: 44,14% (G:9,53% B:0,41%) 55,86% (G:13,41% B:0,09%) 1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 33595514 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02

---

3. Opponent owns the cube

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 74 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 100 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=--BBBBCb---B----B--abbbbd-:1:-1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 61

1. Rollout1 16/9 eq: -0,225 Player: Opponent: 44,71% (G:9,99% B:0,43%) 55,29% (G:10,99% B:0,06%) Conf.: ± 0,004 (-0,228...-0,221) - [100,0%] Duration: 34,0 seconds 2. Rollout1 16/15 16/10 eq: -0,236 (-0,012) Player: Opponent: 44,16% (G:9,96% B:0,49%) 55,84% (G:12,77% B:0,08%) Conf.: ± 0,003 (-0,240...-0,233) - [0,0%] Duration: 36,7 seconds 3. Rollout1 16/10 6/5 eq: -0,244 (-0,020) Player: Opponent: 44,33% (G:9,69% B:0,42%) 55,67% (G:13,05% B:0,09%) Conf.: ± 0,003 (-0,248...-0,241) - [0,0%] Duration: 35,9 seconds 4. Rollout1 11/4 eq: -0,255 (-0,030) Player: Opponent: 44,59% (G:9,46% B:0,37%) 55,41% (G:6,00% B:0,02%) Conf.: ± 0,003 (-0,258...-0,252) - [0,0%] Duration: 28,1 seconds 5. XG Roller++ 11/5 6/5 eq: -0,271 (-0,047) Player: Opponent: 43,78% (G:9,06% B:0,37%) 56,22% (G:6,11% B:0,02%) 1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 33595514 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02

---

4. DMP

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 74 1 point match pip: 100 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=--BBBBCb---B----B--abbbbd-:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:1:10 Blue to play 61

1. Rollout1 11/4 eq: -0,110 Player: Opponent: 44,50% (G:6,70% B:0,19%) 55,50% (G:5,46% B:0,01%) Conf.: ± 0,001 (-0,111...-0,108) - [85,9%] Duration: 1 minute 25 seconds 2. Rollout1 16/9 eq: -0,111 (-0,001) Player: Opponent: 44,45% (G:7,17% B:0,30%) 55,55% (G:9,67% B:0,04%) Conf.: ± 0,002 (-0,113...-0,110) - [14,1%] Duration: 1 minute 31 seconds 3. Rollout2 16/10 6/5 eq: -0,118 (-0,008) Player: Opponent: 44,10% (G:7,39% B:0,21%) 55,90% (G:11,29% B:0,03%) Conf.: ± 0,002 (-0,120...-0,116) - [0,0%] Duration: 42,4 seconds 4. Rollout2 16/15 16/10 eq: -0,119 (-0,009) Player: Opponent: 44,07% (G:7,11% B:0,24%) 55,93% (G:11,24% B:0,04%) Conf.: ± 0,002 (-0,121...-0,117) - [0,0%] Duration: 43,7 seconds 5. Rollout2 11/5 6/5 eq: -0,119 (-0,009) Player: Opponent: 44,05% (G:6,72% B:0,21%) 55,95% (G:5,74% B:0,01%) Conf.: ± 0,002 (-0,121...-0,117) - [0,0%] Duration: 38,3 seconds 1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 33595514 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 33595514 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

---

5. GG

White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 74 2 point match Crawford pip: 100 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=--BBBBCb---B----B--abbbbd-:0:0:1:61:0:1:1:2:10 Blue to play 61

1. Rollout1 16/9 eq: +0,088 Player: Opponent: 43,95% (G:10,47% B:0,72%) 56,05% (G:10,23% B:0,04%) Conf.: ± 0,003 (+0,085...+0,092) - [100,0%] Duration: 42,0 seconds 2. Rollout1 11/4 eq: +0,075 (-0,013) Player: Opponent: 44,35% (G:9,41% B:0,52%) 55,65% (G:5,59% B:0,01%) Conf.: ± 0,003 (+0,072...+0,078) - [0,0%] Duration: 41,6 seconds 3. Rollout1 16/10 6/5 eq: +0,071 (-0,017) Player: Opponent: 44,43% (G:9,13% B:0,56%) 55,57% (G:10,56% B:0,02%) Conf.: ± 0,003 (+0,068...+0,074) - [0,0%] Duration: 40,2 seconds 4. Rollout1 16/15 16/10 eq: +0,070 (-0,019) Player: Opponent: 43,95% (G:9,55% B:0,73%) 56,05% (G:10,54% B:0,05%) Conf.: ± 0,003 (+0,067...+0,073) - [0,0%] Duration: 44,0 seconds 5. XG Roller++ 11/5 6/5 eq: +0,049 (-0,039) Player: Opponent: 43,68% (G:8,77% B:0,31%) 56,32% (G:6,10% B:0,02%) 1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 33595514 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

---

6. GS

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 74 2 point match Crawford pip: 100 score: 1 Blue is Player 1 XGID=--BBBBCb---B----B--abbbbd-:0:0:1:61:1:0:1:2:10 Blue to play 61

1. Rollout1 11/4 eq: -0,226 Player: Opponent: 44,82% (G:7,28% B:0,23%) 55,18% (G:6,13% B:0,00%) Conf.: ± 0,002 (-0,228...-0,224) - [100,0%] Duration: 41,0 seconds 2. Rollout1 11/5 6/5 eq: -0,238 (-0,012) Player: Opponent: 44,32% (G:7,12% B:0,26%) 55,68% (G:6,23% B:0,00%) Conf.: ± 0,002 (-0,240...-0,236) - [0,0%] Duration: 38,4 seconds 3. Rollout1 11/10 11/5 eq: -0,239 (-0,013) Player: Opponent: 43,29% (G:6,57% B:0,22%) 56,71% (G:5,25% B:0,02%) Conf.: ± 0,002 (-0,241...-0,237) - [0,0%] Duration: 41,3 seconds 4. 3-ply 16/9 eq: -0,330 (-0,104) Player: Opponent: 44,92% (G:8,59% B:0,36%) 55,08% (G:11,42% B:0,06%) 5. 3-ply 16/15 16/10 eq: -0,366 (-0,139) Player: Opponent: 44,58% (G:8,60% B:0,42%) 55,42% (G:12,86% B:0,08%) 1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 33595514 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

---

Conclusion?
I still don't understand it. If anyone would like to explain results, I would appreciate it.

Messages In This Thread

• 61, depending on cube position
  mtuhtan -- Saturday, 3 March 2012, at 9:47 a.m.
  • 61, depending on cube position
    Ray Kershaw -- Saturday, 3 March 2012, at 10:15 a.m.
    • 61, depending on cube position
      mtuhtan -- Saturday, 3 March 2012, at 10:27 a.m.
      • 61, depending on cube position
        Ray Kershaw -- Saturday, 3 March 2012, at 10:41 a.m.
  • 61, depending on cube position
    Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 3 March 2012, at 10:45 a.m.
  • 61, depending on cube position
    Snua -- Saturday, 3 March 2012, at 11:12 a.m.
  • 61, depending on cube position
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 3 March 2012, at 8:19 p.m.
  • Also Interesting at DMP, GG and GS
    Paul Weaver -- Sunday, 4 March 2012, at 1:14 a.m.
  • 6 rollouts
    mtuhtan -- Sunday, 4 March 2012, at 1:06 p.m.
    • 6 rollouts
      Michael Depreli -- Monday, 5 March 2012, at 9:47 a.m.