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Rollout

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Sunday, 4 March 2012, at 9:54 p.m.

In Response To: Double with two on the bar? (Dmitriy Obukhov)





White is Player 1

score: 4
pip: 103
7 point match
pip: 116
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=b-CACAD-----bA-----cBbbd--:0:0:-1:00:4:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 49.99% (G:20.52% B:0.66%) 51.05% (G:20.43% B:0.61%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 50.01% (G:21.01% B:0.49%) 48.95% (G:20.70% B:1.03%)
Cubeless Equities -0.008 +0.225
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.142 (-0.047)±0.009 (+0.134..+0.151)
Double/Take:+0.189±0.015 (+0.174..+0.204)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.811)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 3 minutes 29 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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