[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout: A great blitz...with just one little problem

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 12:25 a.m.

In Response To: A great blitz...with just one little problem (Timothy Chow)

In a chouette, I don't care what the bot says; I'm doubling. However, I was surprised to see that the bot doesn't want to double here. Does XG2 concur?





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 160
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 124
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=abB-aCCAB---AA-A-bbcbb--A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 61.02% (G: 32.73% B: 4.51%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.98% (G: 9.32% B: 0.81%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.47% (G: 32.62% B: 4.64%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.53% (G: 8.69% B: 0.66%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.220
Double:+0.977
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.654
Double/Take:+0.623 (-0.031)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.346)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 4 moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 4 ply
Remaining moves and Cube Decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.010 (+0.644...+0.664)
Confidence Double: ± 0.017 (+0.606...+0.641)
Double Decision confidence: 99.9%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 20 hours 55 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.