BGonline.org Forums

Daily Quiz 3/2: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 12:29 a.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 3/2 (Daily Quiz)

		White is Player 1 score: 9 pip: 177 11 point match pip: 164 score: 2 Blue is Player 2
XGID=aa-c-BC-C-ABA---bb-bbAbAA-:0:0:1:00:2:9:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	64.32% (G: 24.33% B: 1.56%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	35.68% (G: 10.98% B: 0.89%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.361
Double:	+1.022
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.898 (-0.102)
Double/Take:	+1.022 (+0.022)
Double/Drop:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

For money:

		White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 177 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 164 score: 0 Blue is Player 2
XGID=aa-c-BC-C-ABA---bb-bbAbAA-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	63.26% (G: 23.71% B: 1.52%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	36.74% (G: 11.35% B: 0.93%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.265
Double:	+0.805
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.576
Double/Take:	+0.561 (-0.016)
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.424)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

---

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 147 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 159 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---Bb-D-B---eE-----db-b-B-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31

1.	XG Roller+	24/23 24/21	eq: -0.491
	Player: Opponent: 39.37% (G:7.43% B:0.26%) 60.63% (G:20.32% B:0.72%)
2.	XG Roller+	8/5 6/5	eq: -0.550 (-0.060)
	Player: Opponent: 37.70% (G:8.85% B:0.34%) 62.30% (G:20.39% B:1.20%)
3.	XG Roller+	24/23 6/3	eq: -0.625 (-0.134)
	Player: Opponent: 36.41% (G:7.26% B:0.26%) 63.59% (G:22.07% B:0.87%)
4.	XG Roller+	24/23 13/10	eq: -0.631 (-0.141)
	Player: Opponent: 36.43% (G:7.92% B:0.30%) 63.57% (G:23.24% B:1.20%)
5.	XG Roller+	24/21 6/5	eq: -0.646 (-0.155)
	Player: Opponent: 36.80% (G:7.80% B:0.31%) 63.20% (G:25.01% B:1.40%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

---

It's extremely annoying that I overlooked 13/4 7/4. A good DQR candidate in any case. The relative merits of the secondary plays are interesting to understand.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 156 9 point match pip: 150 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa---BDAC---cC-a-bbcb-A-A-:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:9:10
Blue to play 33

1.	XG Roller+	13/4 7/4	eq: +0.295
	Player: Opponent: 54.25% (G:24.05% B:1.24%) 45.75% (G:11.13% B:0.54%)
2.	XG Roller+	13/7 6/3(2)	eq: +0.274 (-0.021)
	Player: Opponent: 55.20% (G:20.91% B:1.10%) 44.80% (G:10.88% B:0.48%)
3.	XG Roller+	24/21 13/7 8/5	eq: +0.265 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 55.25% (G:19.32% B:1.19%) 44.75% (G:12.08% B:0.49%)
4.	XG Roller+	24/21 13/10 6/3(2)	eq: +0.226 (-0.070)
	Player: Opponent: 53.26% (G:21.54% B:1.45%) 46.74% (G:13.75% B:0.86%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Daily Quiz 3/2
  Daily Quiz -- Saturday, 3 March 2012, at 3:46 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 3/2
    Mr Majestyk -- Sunday, 4 March 2012, at 12:40 a.m.
    • Correction, Gammonless TP *NM*
      Mr Majestyk -- Sunday, 4 March 2012, at 1:36 a.m.
  • Daily Quiz 3/2
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 4 March 2012, at 12:42 a.m.
    • Daily Quiz 3/2
      Mr Majestyk -- Sunday, 4 March 2012, at 1:14 a.m.
  • Daily Quiz 3/2
    RobertFontaine -- Monday, 5 March 2012, at 3:11 a.m.
    • Daily Quiz 3/2
      Stick -- Monday, 5 March 2012, at 9:20 a.m.
      • Daily Quiz 3/2
        RobertFontaine -- Monday, 5 March 2012, at 11:36 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 3/2: XGR+ evals
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 12:29 a.m.