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Rollout: A great blitz...with just one little problem

Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 1:41 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: A great blitz...with just one little problem (Timothy Chow)

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 160 Unlimited Game Jacoby pip: 124 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=abB-aCCAB---AA-A-bbcbb--A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 60.97% (G:33.34% B:4.54%) 59.89% (G:32.55% B:4.92%) Opponent Winning Chances: 39.03% (G:9.22% B:0.84%) 40.11% (G:8.88% B:0.69%) Cubeless Equities +0.498 +0.953 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.658 ±0.009 (+0.649..+0.668) Double/Take: +0.617 (-0.042) ±0.018 (+0.599..+0.635) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.342) Best Cube action: No double / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.8% Rollout details 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62701553 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 15 minutes 10 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 160 Unlimited Game Jacoby pip: 124 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=abB-aCCAB---AA-A-bbcbb--A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 58.04% (G:31.89% B:4.42%) 58.13% (G:31.93% B:4.19%) Opponent Winning Chances: 41.96% (G:9.63% B:0.80%) 41.87% (G:9.69% B:0.95%) Cubeless Equities +0.420 +0.835 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.453 ±0.190 (+0.263..+0.643) Double/Take: +0.325 (-0.128) ±0.307 (+0.017..+0.632) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.547) Best Cube action: No double / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.0% Rollout details 649 Games rolled. Dice Seed: 62701553 Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply Double Decision confidence: 75.7% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 35 minutes 50 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02

NBM

Messages In This Thread

• A great blitz...with just one little problem
  Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 4 March 2012, at 6:56 p.m.
  • A great blitz...with just one little problem
    Stick -- Sunday, 4 March 2012, at 11:48 p.m.
  • A great blitz...with just one little problem
    David -- Monday, 5 March 2012, at 3:59 p.m.
  • A great blitz...with just one little problem
    neilkaz -- Monday, 5 March 2012, at 4:32 p.m.
  • Rollout: A great blitz...with just one little problem
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 12:25 a.m.
    • Rollout: A great blitz...with just one little problem
      Stick -- Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 1:29 a.m.
    • Rollout: A great blitz...with just one little problem
      Mr Majestyk -- Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 1:41 a.m.
      • why no variance reduction?
        Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 5:26 p.m.
        • My 4 ply RO is in progress *NM*
          neilkaz -- Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 6:12 p.m.
        • Apologies! *NM*
          Mr Majestyk -- Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 7:20 p.m.
        • why no variance reduction?
          Stick -- Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 7:58 p.m.
          • why no variance reduction?
            eXtreme Gammon -- Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 8:19 p.m.
  • 4 ply RO
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 8:51 p.m.
    • 4 ply RO
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 7 March 2012, at 12:18 a.m.