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4 ply RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 6 March 2012, at 8:51 p.m.

In Response To: A great blitz...with just one little problem (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 160
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 124
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=abB-aCCAB---AA-A-bbcbb--A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.333% (G:33.017% B:4.556%) 60.043% (G:32.922% B:4.927%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.667% (G:9.434% B:0.822%) 39.957% (G:9.602% B:0.834%)
Cubeless Equities +0.4798 +0.9500
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.6441±0.0071 (+0.6370..+0.6512)
Double/Take:+0.6107 (-0.0334)±0.0118 (+0.5989..+0.6225)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.3559)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 7.9%
Rollout details
3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46746902
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 hours 54 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02

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