[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Whopper Cheese With My 44

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Thursday, 8 March 2012, at 8:34 p.m.

In Response To: Whopper Cheese With My 44 (Paul Weaver)

First the rollout result of the 44 checker play is given. White has 9 fanning numbers if Blue switches (can Blue cash the fans?); White has no fans if Blue does not hit. Hitting also takes away some of White's strong hitting rolls: 32 43 44 42.

Next is the diagram after Blue's best play with 44. Also shown is the cube action after White makes the mistake of fanning. Blue has a double after some of White's entries. Which ones?





White is opponent

score: 0
pip: 139
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 140
score: 0

Blue is peever
XGID=-a---BDbD---bCA--c-d-A-ba-:0:0:1:44:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 44

1.Rollout18/4(2) 5/1*(2) eq: +0.641
Player:
Opponent:		65.11% (G:19.91% B:0.47%)
34.89% (G:7.57% B:0.19%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.628...+0.654) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 16 seconds
2.Rollout114/6 8/4(2)eq: +0.475 (-0.166)
Player:
Opponent:		62.28% (G:15.07% B:0.54%)
37.72% (G:6.53% B:0.11%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.463...+0.486) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 13 seconds
3.Rollout18/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.446 (-0.195)
Player:
Opponent:		61.33% (G:18.80% B:0.78%)
38.67% (G:9.59% B:0.19%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.432...+0.459) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 38 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02
White is opponent

score: 0
pip: 140
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 124
score: 0

Blue is peever
XGID=aB--B-DbB---bCA--c-d-A-ba-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 71.33% (G:23.90% B:0.42%) 71.60% (G:26.43% B:0.69%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.67% (G:5.48% B:0.15%) 28.40% (G:6.05% B:0.18%)
Cubeless Equities +0.614 +1.282
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.858 (-0.142)±0.011 (+0.847..+0.869)
Double/Take:+1.079 (+0.079)±0.015 (+1.063..+1.094)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 minutes 46 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.