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Rollout: As Stick Predicted

Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Friday, 9 March 2012, at 11:53 p.m.

In Response To: ROLLOUT (Petter Bengtsson)

Cheers, Peter!





White is MrMajestyk

score: 0
pip: 125
5 point match
pip: 123
score: 0

Blue is STEAMSAX
XGID=---BCcDB---B--aa-b-b-bAbbA:0:0:-1:00:0:0:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 64.63% (G:32.95% B:0.44%) 65.14% (G:34.41% B:0.49%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 35.37% (G:9.16% B:0.48%) 34.86% (G:9.40% B:0.69%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.510 +1.203
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.650 (-0.319)±0.005 (+0.645..+0.656)
xg Double/Take:+0.969±0.010 (+0.959..+0.979)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.031)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
3600 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 96639999
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 29 minutes 53 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

NBM

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