[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

OLM Sa 03/10/12

Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Monday, 12 March 2012, at 1:32 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Sa 03/10/12 (Chuck Bower)

..."(very well-timed vs. not) should have an effect and estimating that is another source of potential error".

If this was the only factor, I doubt it would be that much of "a source of potential error". A very important factor is "threat versus threat". IMO, this is the biggest 'source of potential error'. For instance, and for argument sake lets say when thing go really bad for blue his net Gammon loss is 30%. When things just go bad his loss is 14%; thus his average net loss is around 22%. In this instance, the swing is huge and I honestly believe the main reason for errors in Gammon estimations in positions like these is a over/underestimation of threat versus threat. Who's got the greater threat, here? Who's more flexible? Who has more than one game plan etc? I'm not suggesting that blue comes out on top on each of these questions but it is important to note; especially when estimating your Gammons. You can have the keenest mind and are very sharp in accessing your TP's & GV's but its pretty much useless if your (not you) estimations are way off.

NBM

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.