[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Nobody got the ''right'' play!

Posted By: Christian Sorensen
Date: Wednesday, 14 March 2012, at 11:23 a.m.

In Response To: Help me, Giants!! (Casper van der Tak)





White is marbs2

score: 1
pip: 176
5 point match
pip: 160
score: 4

Blue is KillingKid
XGID=--ab-bD-C-aCbC--Aa--b-bbA-:1:1:1:44:4:1:0:5:10
Blue to play 44

1.Rollout18/4(2) 6/2*(2) eq: -0.034
Player:
Opponent:		59.51% (G:30.62% B:3.94%)
40.49% (G:10.67% B:1.26%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.036...-0.031) - [99.9%]
Duration: 1 hour 42 minutes
2.Rollout113/9(3) 6/2* eq: -0.040 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		59.79% (G:21.75% B:1.84%)
40.21% (G:11.23% B:1.26%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.043...-0.037) - [0.1%]
Duration: 1 hour 48 minutes
3.Rollout213/9(2) 6/2*(2) eq: -0.050 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		59.14% (G:24.64% B:2.18%)
40.86% (G:11.09% B:1.30%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.058...-0.041) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 58 seconds
4.Rollout311/7(2) 6/2*(2) eq: -0.077 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		58.16% (G:24.03% B:2.33%)
41.84% (G:11.44% B:1.17%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.086...-0.067) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 11 seconds
5.3-ply11/7(3) 6/2* eq: -0.100 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		57.82% (G:16.44% B:0.63%)
42.18% (G:12.22% B:0.64%)
6.2-ply8/4(3) 6/2* eq: -0.171 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:		55.90% (G:18.93% B:0.77%)
44.10% (G:13.78% B:0.88%)
7.2-ply13/9 11/7(3)eq: -0.198 (-0.164)
Player:
Opponent:		55.06% (G:16.46% B:0.78%)
44.94% (G:14.25% B:0.93%)
8.2-ply13/9(3) 8/4eq: -0.206 (-0.172)
Player:
Opponent:		55.38% (G:15.40% B:0.85%)
44.62% (G:14.93% B:0.85%)
9.2-ply11/7(3) 8/4eq: -0.250 (-0.216)
Player:
Opponent:		53.94% (G:15.91% B:0.74%)
46.06% (G:15.68% B:1.09%)
10.2-ply13/9(3) 11/7eq: -0.259 (-0.225)
Player:
Opponent:		53.64% (G:15.62% B:0.91%)
46.36% (G:15.80% B:0.94%)
 
1 16956 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71251222
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

2 1990 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71251222
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

3 1343 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71251222
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

So the ''right'' play is 8/4*(2) 6/2(2). It doesn't seem like the best play for me but maybe the rollout result will change after more games because of huge variance.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.