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Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Wednesday, 14 March 2012, at 10:16 p.m.

In Response To: I Screwed Up My Back Game (Paul Weaver)

Position 1.





White is Lyurix

score: 2
pip: 146
9 point match
pip: 177
score: 0

Blue is peever
XGID=--aa-BD-B---cC--bb-bbBbB--:1:1:1:32:0:2:0:9:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout113/11 6/3* eq: -0.049
Player:
Opponent:		41.35% (G:10.47% B:0.45%)
58.65% (G:24.02% B:1.66%)		Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.068...-0.030) - [99.1%]
Duration: 3 minutes 39 seconds
2.Rollout223/21 6/3* eq: -0.080 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		40.26% (G:10.27% B:0.45%)
59.74% (G:22.96% B:1.63%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.096...-0.064) - [0.9%]
Duration: 3 minutes 39 seconds
3.Rollout223/18eq: -0.092 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		39.53% (G:10.03% B:0.36%)
60.47% (G:21.44% B:1.44%)		Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.112...-0.073) - [0.1%]
Duration: 3 minutes 28 seconds
4.Rollout26/4 6/3* eq: -0.107 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		40.51% (G:9.39% B:0.46%)
59.49% (G:25.25% B:2.66%)		Conf.: ± 0.022 (-0.130...-0.085) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 11 seconds
5.Rollout213/8eq: -0.110 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		38.73% (G:10.00% B:0.38%)
61.27% (G:21.05% B:1.97%)		Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.130...-0.090) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 11 seconds
6.Rollout213/10 6/4eq: -0.149 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:		39.69% (G:8.19% B:0.44%)
60.31% (G:25.95% B:1.96%)		Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.168...-0.130) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 39 seconds
1 525 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 524 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 2.





White is Lyurix

score: 2
pip: 110
9 point match
pip: 168
score: 0

Blue is peever
XGID=-a-B-CBBA---a---bbabbBcBaA:1:1:1:62:0:2:0:9:10
Blue to play 62

1.Rollout1Bar/23 21/15eq: -0.043
Player:
Opponent:		44.32% (G:12.36% B:0.97%)
55.68% (G:32.74% B:4.55%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.056...-0.029) - [99.3%]
Duration: 5 minutes 55 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/23 7/1* eq: -0.068 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		41.34% (G:13.17% B:0.78%)
58.66% (G:29.90% B:3.47%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.082...-0.053) - [0.7%]
Duration: 6 minutes 10 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/23 8/2eq: -0.105 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		40.88% (G:9.90% B:0.54%)
59.12% (G:28.05% B:2.19%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.118...-0.091) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 34 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 3.





White is Lyurix

score: 2
pip: 90
9 point match
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is peever
XGID=-aAB-CBB--------b-abbBfCa-:1:1:1:00:0:2:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 66.16% (G:22.65% B:1.25%) 67.24% (G:23.63% B:1.55%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.84% (G:15.48% B:2.55%) 32.76% (G:16.08% B:4.46%)
Cubeless Equities +0.411 +1.139
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.848 (-0.152)±0.015 (+0.833..+0.863)
Redouble/Take:+1.083 (+0.083)±0.021 (+1.062..+1.104)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 9 minutes 42 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

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