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Another opportunity to err - RO

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Friday, 16 March 2012, at 4:23 a.m.

In Response To: Another opportunity to err (Daniel Murphy)

The score is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 3 points)

Move number 8: White on roll, cube decision?

White	90
Blue	106
Position ID: c9sBAkHXMXOAAA Match ID: MAFgAAAAAAAE

• White doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless MWC		55.318%	(Money: +0.4689)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	59.661%
2.	Double, pass	59.899%	0.238%
3.	No double	56.811%	-2.850%
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6712 0.2047 0.0063 - 0.3288 0.0823 0.0021 55.318% 56.811% Standard error 0.0011 0.0022 0.0006 - 0.0011 0.0021 0.0002 0.037% 0.062% Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.6758 0.2221 0.0225 - 0.3242 0.1072 0.0061 62.145% 59.661% Standard error 0.0012 0.0025 0.0033 - 0.0012 0.0031 0.0013 0.083% 0.098%
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 910285756 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

A 0.976 +/- 0.020 EMG take.

Messages In This Thread

• Another opportunity to err
  Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 15 March 2012, at 5:01 p.m.
  • Another opportunity to err
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 15 March 2012, at 5:44 p.m.
  • Another opportunity to err
    Sam Pottle -- Thursday, 15 March 2012, at 6:12 p.m.
  • Another opportunity to err - RO
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 16 March 2012, at 4:23 a.m.
    • Another opportunity to err - RO
      Timothy Chow -- Friday, 16 March 2012, at 1:54 p.m.
      • Another opportunity to err - RO
        Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 16 March 2012, at 2:35 p.m.
        • Another opportunity to err - RO
          Mr Majestyk -- Friday, 16 March 2012, at 4:23 p.m.
      • Another opportunity to err - RO
        Sam Pottle -- Friday, 16 March 2012, at 5:09 p.m.