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41$-33B-22-41 and 41$-33B-22-31, rollouts

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 18 March 2012, at 5:08 a.m.

In Response To: 41$-33B-22(spoiler)-41/31 (Nack Ballard)

Is it right to hit? The awkwardness of the other half of the roll decides the issue.

    41$-33B-22-41 [P E30] "<=5
    41$-33B-22-31 [S P10 U12] "<=20

Rollout details follow.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 154
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 155
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---b--E-C-B-cC--bc-daB----:0:0:1:14:0:0:3:0:10
41$-33B-22-41 [P E30] "<=5

1.Rollout113/9 10/9eq: +0.048
Player:
Opponent:
50.79% (G:11.89% B:0.43%)
49.21% (G:9.99% B:0.39%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.041...+0.055) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 05 minutes
2.Rollout121/20* 6/2eq: +0.018 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
50.28% (G:13.71% B:0.56%)
49.72% (G:12.56% B:0.55%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.009...+0.026) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 41 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 84196687
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 154
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 155
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---b--E-C-B-cC--bc-daB----:0:0:1:13:0:0:3:0:10
41$-33B-22-31 [S P10 U12] "<=20

1.Rollout121/20* 13/10eq: +0.141
Player:
Opponent:
53.14% (G:14.88% B:0.64%)
46.86% (G:11.34% B:0.49%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.137...+0.145) - [100.0%]
Duration: 16 hours 04 minutes
2.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: +0.131 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
52.97% (G:12.07% B:0.42%)
47.03% (G:8.88% B:0.34%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.128...+0.135) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 hours 53 minutes
3.Rollout121/18 21/20* eq: +0.129 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:
53.30% (G:13.58% B:0.59%)
46.70% (G:12.09% B:0.52%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.125...+0.134) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 hours 09 minutes
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 42249873
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02

Nack

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