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Daily Quiz 3/15 Rollouts

Posted By: Benf
Date: Tuesday, 20 March 2012, at 8:05 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 3/15 (Daily Quiz)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 151
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 161
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----b-EBB---cD--acae----AA:0:0:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 41

1.Rollout1Bar/21 6/5eq: -0.312
Player:
Opponent:		43.62% (G:9.25% B:0.47%)
56.38% (G:18.86% B:0.82%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.328...-0.296) - [99.4%]
Duration: 5 minutes 56 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/21 24/23eq: -0.339 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		42.43% (G:7.75% B:0.30%)
57.57% (G:16.22% B:0.52%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.351...-0.326) - [0.6%]
Duration: 5 minutes 39 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/20eq: -0.349 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:		42.53% (G:8.18% B:0.35%)
57.47% (G:16.84% B:0.49%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.363...-0.335) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 38 seconds
4.XG Roller+Bar/24 13/9eq: -0.429 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		40.13% (G:8.58% B:0.33%)
59.87% (G:17.67% B:0.94%)
5.XG Roller+Bar/24 6/2eq: -0.441 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		39.90% (G:8.15% B:0.28%)
60.10% (G:18.19% B:0.79%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 100
1 point match
pip: 89
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ABBbBC-C----B----accbbb--:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout18/3 6/2eq: +0.315
Player:
Opponent:		65.77% (G:2.20% B:0.02%)
34.23% (G:2.09% B:0.03%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.313...+0.318) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 06 seconds
2.Rollout113/8 6/2eq: +0.255 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		62.73% (G:3.39% B:0.04%)
37.27% (G:3.97% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.252...+0.257) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 12 seconds
3.XG Roller+13/9 13/8eq: +0.085 (-0.231)
Player:
Opponent:		54.23% (G:2.37% B:0.06%)
45.77% (G:6.14% B:0.12%)
4.XG Roller+13/9 6/1eq: -0.039 (-0.354)
Player:
Opponent:		48.04% (G:2.65% B:0.07%)
51.96% (G:13.95% B:0.32%)
5.XG Roller+8/3 5/1eq: -0.042 (-0.357)
Player:
Opponent:		47.89% (G:3.47% B:0.10%)
52.11% (G:11.35% B:0.20%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 119
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 155
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-a-BBC-CA---A----ddc--bBA:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 57.27% (G:16.60% B:0.67%) 57.28% (G:16.72% B:0.68%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 42.73% (G:17.61% B:1.94%) 42.72% (G:17.50% B:1.90%)
Cubeless Equities +0.123 +0.251
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.205
Double/Beaver:-0.139 (-0.344)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.795)
Best Cube action: No double / Beaver
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 23.2%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

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