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OLM Tu 03/20/12 — XG 3-ply Rollouts

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Thursday, 22 March 2012, at 5:20 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Tu 03/20/12 -- Gnubg RO (Daniel Murphy)

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Thanks for posting these rollouts. It looks like the top three plays are close enough not to quibble over. Your first rollout, at score, definitely shows that avoiding the loss of a backgammon is a top priority. After moving to the 19pt, bringing a checker down then gives the best chance to have your cake, and eat it, too. My XG rollouts are below. Mike

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At Score: 6-away, 12-away

White is Player 2 score: 3 pip: 24 15 point match pip: 101 score: 9 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-GC---A------A-------bdCd-:1:1:1:43:9:3:0:15:10 Blue to play 43

1. Rollout1 23/19 13/10 eq: -1.9907 Player: Opponent: 0.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 99.60% (G:83.37% B:2.04%) Conf.: ±0.0003 (-1.9909...-1.9904) - [93.1%] Duration: 4 minutes 00 second 2. Rollout1 13/6 eq: -1.9910 (-0.0003) Player: Opponent: 0.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 99.49% (G:81.70% B:3.62%) Conf.: ±0.0003 (-1.9912...-1.9907) - [6.9%] Duration: 3 minutes 16 seconds 3. Rollout1 23/16 eq: -1.9926 (-0.0019) Player: Opponent: 0.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 99.67% (G:83.69% B:1.80%) Conf.: ±0.0003 (-1.9928...-1.9923) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 56 seconds 4. Rollout1 23/20 13/9 eq: -1.9975 (-0.0069) Player: Opponent: 0.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 99.63% (G:83.65% B:2.25%) Conf.: ±0.0003 (-1.9978...-1.9973) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 36 seconds 1 41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 11269996 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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Unlimited Games/Money

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 24 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 101 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-GC---A------A-------bdCd-:1:1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 43

1. Rollout1 13/6 eq: -1.8416 Player: Opponent: 0.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 99.49% (G:81.72% B:3.61%) Conf.: ±0.0004 (-1.8420...-1.8412) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 51 seconds 2. Rollout1 23/19 13/10 eq: -1.8447 (-0.0031) Player: Opponent: 0.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 99.60% (G:83.31% B:2.09%) Conf.: ±0.0004 (-1.8450...-1.8443) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 09 seconds 3. Rollout1 23/16 eq: -1.8475 (-0.0059) Player: Opponent: 0.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 99.66% (G:83.65% B:1.89%) Conf.: ±0.0003 (-1.8478...-1.8471) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 14 seconds 4. Rollout1 23/20 13/9 eq: -1.8504 (-0.0089) Player: Opponent: 0.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 99.62% (G:83.60% B:2.31%) Conf.: ±0.0004 (-1.8508...-1.8501) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 01 second 1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 5803823 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Messages In This Thread

• OLM Tu 03/20/12
  Jason Lee -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 1:13 a.m.
  • OLM Tu 03/20/12
    David Rennie -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 2:07 a.m.
  • OLM Tu 03/20/12
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 3:30 a.m.
  • OLM Tu 03/20/12
    Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 5:17 a.m.
  • OLM Tu 03/20/12
    pontiac -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 7:59 a.m.
  • OLM Tu 03/20/12
    Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 8:43 a.m.
  • OLM Tu 03/20/12
    Neil Robins -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 1:36 p.m.
  • OLM Tu 03/20/12
    mandm1951 -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 2:22 p.m.
    • OLM Tu 03/20/12
      Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 3:50 p.m.
  • OLM Tu 03/20/12
    MishyPoo -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 2:26 p.m.
  • OLM Tu 03/20/12
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 3:06 p.m.
  • OLM Tu 03/20/12
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 4:53 p.m.
  • OLM Tu 03/20/12
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 4:56 p.m.
  • OLM Tu 03/20/12 -- Gnubg RO
    Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 22 March 2012, at 12:52 a.m.
    • OLM Tu 03/20/12 — XG 3-ply Rollouts
      Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 22 March 2012, at 5:20 a.m.
  • OLM Tu 03/20/12 ROLLOUT
    Jason Lee -- Friday, 23 March 2012, at 12:24 a.m.