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mine RO and waiting Stick's longer RO

Posted By: pontiac
Date: Thursday, 22 March 2012, at 8:11 a.m.

In Response To: 2-2 to play (Stick)

yes the position from an old pos in the forum so I dont know why cube is in the middle or where should it be etc. but after reading the thread it was surprising for me about the best move and I set up on XG RO it again. Hoping XG would give better results.

Before the roll cube decision,





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 153
Unlimited Game
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-b---BD-B---cF---b-bbbb--A:0:0:-1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 71,33% (G:39,61% B:0,75%) 71,83% (G:39,34% B:0,73%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 28,67% (G:5,65% B:0,27%) 28,17% (G:5,73% B:0,28%)
  Cubeless Equities +0,771 +1,554
Cubeful Equities
No double:+1,000±0,012 (+0,989..+1,012)
Double/Take:+1,328 (+0,328)±0,018 (+1,310..+1,346)
Double/Pass:+1,000 (0,000)
 
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 0,1%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 28634545
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:52,6%
Take Decision confidence:100,0%
Duration: 17 minutes 42 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

I also liked the normal looking 24-22(2), 13-9 whereas bot likes to split 24-22 and clear 8pt interestingly, can anyone explain why to clear valuable blocking 8p?





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 153
Unlimited Game
Beaver
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-b---BD-B---cF---b-bbbb--A:0:0:-1:22:0:0:2:0:10
Blue to play 22

1.Rollout124/22 13/11 8/6(2)eq: +0,997
Player:
Opponent:		69,89% (G:41,12% B:0,56%)
30,11% (G:5,56% B:0,28%)		Conf.: ± 0,011 (+0,986...+1,008) - [50,9%]
Duration: 7 minutes 12 seconds
2.Rollout124/22 8/6 8/4eq: +0,995 (-0,002)
Player:
Opponent:		69,77% (G:40,78% B:0,55%)
30,23% (G:5,56% B:0,28%)		Conf.: ± 0,010 (+0,986...+1,005) - [32,1%]
Duration: 6 minutes 46 seconds
3.Rollout124/22(2) 13/9eq: +0,992 (-0,006)
Player:
Opponent:		70,75% (G:38,75% B:0,71%)
29,25% (G:5,66% B:0,27%)		Conf.: ± 0,014 (+0,978...+1,005) - [17,0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 30 seconds
4.Rollout224/22 13/11(3)eq: +0,972 (-0,025)
Player:
Opponent:		69,63% (G:40,10% B:0,79%)
30,37% (G:5,63% B:0,27%)		Conf.: ± 0,012 (+0,960...+0,984) - [0,0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 50 seconds
5.Rollout324/22(2) 13/11 8/6eq: +0,962 (-0,035)
Player:
Opponent:		69,15% (G:40,28% B:0,57%)
30,85% (G:5,86% B:0,26%)		Conf.: ± 0,013 (+0,949...+0,976) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 59 seconds
6.Rollout424/22 13/7eq: +0,945 (-0,053)
Player:
Opponent:		69,73% (G:40,66% B:0,83%)
30,27% (G:6,08% B:0,32%)		Conf.: ± 0,015 (+0,929...+0,960) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 03 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 84232373
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1116 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 84232373
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 988 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 84232373
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

4 784 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 84232373
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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