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Blitz / Prime / Match-Score Cube action? (RO)

Posted By: Jeremy Bagai
Date: Sunday, 25 March 2012, at 9:40 p.m.

In Response To: Blitz / Prime / Match-Score Cube action? (Jeremy Bagai)

I missed it, of course.
Even after the analysis, the size of the no-double error is striking.







White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 89
7 point match
pip: 123
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-ABBCBA--AaB---a-bbcbabA:1:1:1:00:0:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 39.20% (G:14.61% B:1.79%) 39.56% (G:14.26% B:2.52%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 60.80% (G:50.10% B:1.88%) 60.44% (G:49.15% B:1.18%)
Cubeless Equities -0.616 -0.023
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:-0.348 (-0.325)±0.015 (-0.363..-0.333)
Redouble/Take:-0.023±0.018 (-0.041..-0.005)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+1.023)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
432 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 9 minutes 13 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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