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Bear in and hit or bear in and bear of? *** RO ***

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 7:47 p.m.

In Response To: Bear in and hit or bear in and bear of? (Karl Frogner)

The two-gap play outperforms the one-gap plays.

Unlimited match. Blue to play 2-2.

White	117
Blue	62
Position ID: bdsCADH+2BsAAA Match ID: QQkJAAAAAAAE

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.481)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	7/5(2) 2/off(2)	+0.5012
			0.7131 0.1798 0.0083 - 0.2869 0.0000 0.0000 +0.6142 +0.5012 0.0022 0.0028 0.0007 - 0.0022 0.0000 0.0000 0.0049 0.0064
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 912030860 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	7/3(2)	+0.4159 ( -0.0853)
			0.6935 0.1164 0.0047 - 0.3065 0.0002 0.0000 +0.5080 +0.4159 0.0022 0.0028 0.0005 - 0.0022 0.0002 0.0000 0.0047 0.0058
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 912030860 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	7/5(2) 6/4*(2)	+0.2897 ( -0.2115)
			0.6105 0.2056 0.0125 - 0.3895 0.0033 0.0001 +0.4358 +0.2897 0.0027 0.0032 0.0008 - 0.0027 0.0006 0.0000 0.0062 0.0083
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 912030860 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

At the original 0-0/5 score, the blunders cost about 1.6%% and 3.2% match winning chances.

The score is 0-0/5. Blue to play 2-2

White	117
Blue	62
Position ID: bdsCADH+2BsAAA Match ID: QQmpAAAAAAAE

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.506)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	7/5(2) 2/off(2)	+0.5367
			0.7152 0.1741 0.0077 - 0.2848 0.0000 0.0000 +0.6661 +0.5367 0.0022 0.0027 0.0008 - 0.0022 0.0000 0.0000 0.0054 0.0071
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 912030860 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	7/3(2)	+0.4303 ( -0.1064)
			0.6941 0.1184 0.0051 - 0.3059 0.0002 0.0000 +0.5378 +0.4303 0.0022 0.0038 0.0005 - 0.0022 0.0002 0.0000 0.0051 0.0066
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 912030860 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	7/5(2) 6/4*(2)	+0.3178 ( -0.2190)
			0.6101 0.2090 0.0162 - 0.3899 0.0015 0.0001 +0.4945 +0.3178 0.0026 0.0035 0.0028 - 0.0026 0.0012 0.0001 0.0073 0.0092
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 912030860 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Bear in and hit or bear in and bear of?
  Karl Frogner -- Tuesday, 20 March 2012, at 4:04 p.m.
  • Bear in and hit or bear in and bear of?
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 20 March 2012, at 4:17 p.m.
    • Bear in and hit or bear in and bear of?
      Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 20 March 2012, at 4:22 p.m.
  • Bear in and hit or bear in and bear of?
    Dmitriy Obukhov -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 2:59 a.m.
  • Bear in and hit or bear in and bear of?
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 21 March 2012, at 4:09 p.m.
  • Bear in and hit or bear in and bear of? Rollout?
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 3:47 p.m.
    • XGR++
      mtuhtan -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 7:11 p.m.
      • Rollout
        Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 8:53 p.m.
  • Bear in and hit or bear in and bear of? *** RO ***
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 7:47 p.m.