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BGonline.org Forums
4away-3away cube handling
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: 4away-3away cube handling (nixo)
Date: Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 5:07 p.m.
Lead 3a4a, Pass 3a3a 50%, Take win 1a4a 81%, Take lose 3a2a 40%, R 10% to gain 31%, TP = 10/41 = 24.4%. Pip 87-95 -> POLT 87-~98 -> ~72% GWC, Blue is more flat/wasteful at the moment but not necessarily a turn from now because of contact, market losers = yes, should be enough to offer a double ATS and in an unlimited match.
I'm not seeing contact as favoring White -- Blue can play 3 checkers from the 8 point with little waste, hits for either side are few but only White can be forced to leave a blot in the next two turns, and as long as Blue owns the 11 point, White has to play 2-X and 1-X inside his home board.
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