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Long rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 10 October 2007, at 2:45 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Tues. Oct. 9th - Cube (Stick)

Not good enough. I'll now start the rollout for today's cube, which I still think is a clear cube.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, ntk 2 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: ntk on roll, cube decision?

gnubg157


2X1O2X ' '3X2X ' '1X '3O

2X2X '2O '3O '3O2O ' '1X

ntk155

Position ID: M25EADaYc8MBSA Match ID: cAlgAQAAEAAA

• ntk doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.070)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.459(Money: +0.466)
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.609
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.391
3.Double, take +0.539 -0.070
Proper cube action:No double, take (15.2%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.6660.2470.017-0.3340.1280.003 +0.459 +0.609
Standard error0.0010.0010.001-0.0010.0010.000 0.003 0.007
Player gnubg owns 2-cube0.6660.2430.020-0.3340.1270.003 +0.890 +0.539
Standard error0.0010.0020.001-0.0010.0010.000 0.008 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3590 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1042414963 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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