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Rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 30 March 2012, at 1:08 a.m.

In Response To: My Ohio State BG Recap (long) (Stick)

Glad I passed.

White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 162 11 point match pip: 157 score: 0 Blue is Player 2 XGID=-b----E-D---eD----bbbb-A-A:0:0:-1:00:0:0:0:11:10 Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 69.86% (G:25.94% B:1.06%) 70.12% (G:27.41% B:1.16%) Opponent Winning Chances: 30.14% (G:6.35% B:0.27%) 29.88% (G:6.64% B:0.34%) Cubeless Equities +0.605 +1.267 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.898 (-0.102) ±0.009 (+0.890..+0.907) Double/Take: +1.028 (+0.028) ±0.015 (+1.013..+1.044) Double/Pass: +1.000 Best Cube action: Double / Pass Rollout details 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 98316039 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 44 minutes 06 seconds

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My OtB 45 second play ends up being right.

White is Player 2 score: 3 pip: 107 11 point match Crawford pip: 71 score: 10 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-BaCCbCBB----------bbbcba-:0:0:1:11:10:3:1:11:10 Blue to play 11

1. Rollout1 8/7 4/2* 3/2 eq: +0.783 Player: Opponent: 89.39% (G:24.76% B:0.05%) 10.61% (G:0.40% B:0.01%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.781...+0.785) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 32 seconds 2. Rollout1 8/6(2) eq: +0.763 (-0.020) Player: Opponent: 88.56% (G:16.44% B:0.09%) 11.44% (G:0.75% B:0.02%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.760...+0.765) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 27 seconds 3. Rollout1 7/6 4/2* 3/2 eq: +0.758 (-0.025) Player: Opponent: 88.20% (G:26.23% B:0.06%) 11.80% (G:0.50% B:0.01%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.756...+0.760) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 14 seconds 4. Rollout1 3/2*(3) 2/1 eq: +0.747 (-0.036) Player: Opponent: 87.64% (G:17.79% B:0.04%) 12.36% (G:0.54% B:0.02%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.744...+0.749) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 29 seconds 5. Rollout1 8/7(2) 3/2* 2/1 eq: +0.743 (-0.040) Player: Opponent: 87.50% (G:16.11% B:0.06%) 12.50% (G:0.63% B:0.02%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.740...+0.745) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 31 seconds 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 84553607 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• My Ohio State BG Recap (long)
  Stick -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 8:28 a.m.
  • My Ohio State BG Recap (long)
    Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 9:05 a.m.
    • My Ohio State BG Recap (long)
      Bill Patterson -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 1:35 p.m.
  • My Ohio State BG Recap (long)
    Steve Mellen -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 1:33 p.m.
  • My Ohio State BG Recap (long)
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 5:15 p.m.
    • My Ohio State BG Recap (long)
      Stick -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 5:25 p.m.
  • My Ohio State BG Recap (long)
    Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 5:47 p.m.
    • My Ohio State BG Recap (long)
      David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 6:03 p.m.
      • My Ohio State BG Recap (long)
        Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 7:17 p.m.
        • My Ohio State BG Recap (long)
          David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 9:06 p.m.
    • Partly Because PR is a Fat Dot
      mamabear -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 6:21 p.m.
    • My Ohio State BG Recap (long)
      Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 6:56 p.m.
      • My Ohio State BG Recap (long)
        Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 7:24 p.m.
  • Rollouts
    Stick -- Friday, 30 March 2012, at 1:08 a.m.
    • Rollouts
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 31 March 2012, at 1:31 a.m.
    • 54S-11N-41U-42P-F-C (at –11–11)
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 8 April 2012, at 1:00 a.m.