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rollout

Posted By: nixo
Date: Friday, 30 March 2012, at 7:17 a.m.

In Response To: 4away-3away cube handling (nixo)

Thank you all for your answer and explanations.

There are the Rollouts.





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 95
7 point match
pip: 87
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBBAC-Cb-B-------debb---:0:0:1:00:3:4:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 72,903% (G:0,212% B:0,007%) 73,073% (G:0,185% B:0,010%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 27,097% (G:0,093% B:0,004%) 26,927% (G:0,068% B:0,008%)
Cubeless Equities +0,4590 +0,8655
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,7188±0,0023 (+0,7165..+0,7210)
Double/Take:+0,7140 (-0,0048)±0,0023 (+0,7117..+0,7163)
Double/Pass:+1,0000 (+0,2812)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 1,6%
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71400113
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:99,8%
Take Decision confidence:100,0%
Duration: 13 minutes 54 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 95
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 87
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBBAC-Cb-B-------debb---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 72,968% (G:0,200% B:0,003%) 73,119% (G:0,190% B:0,004%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 27,032% (G:0,064% B:0,002%) 26,881% (G:0,056% B:0,005%)
Cubeless Equities +0,4607 +0,9274
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,7299 (-0,0270)±0,0048 (+0,7251..+0,7347)
Double/Take:+0,7569±0,0061 (+0,7509..+0,7630)
Double/Pass:+1,0000 (+0,2431)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71400113
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100,0%
Take Decision confidence:100,0%
Duration: 3 minutes 56 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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