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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 11 October 2007, at 4:30 a.m.

In Response To: Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube (Stick)

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, ntk 2 (match to 11 points)

Move number 4: ntk on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	147
ntk	149
Position ID: a2xEECyYc8MhQA Match ID: cAlgAQAAEAAA

• ntk doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.612	(Money: +0.618)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.906
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.094
3.	No double	+0.761	-0.145
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.702 0.298 0.030 - 0.298 0.111 0.002 +0.612 +0.761 Standard error 0.002 0.003 0.003 - 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.007 0.013 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.706 0.300 0.033 - 0.294 0.110 0.002 +1.231 +0.906 Standard error 0.003 0.004 0.002 - 0.003 0.002 0.000 0.018 0.026
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
771 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1042414963 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
  Stick -- Wednesday, 10 October 2007, at 8:21 a.m.
  • Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
    Steve Mellen -- Wednesday, 10 October 2007, at 11:16 a.m.
    • Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
      DC-Ohio -- Wednesday, 10 October 2007, at 11:34 a.m.
  • Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
    Stein Kulseth -- Wednesday, 10 October 2007, at 11:29 a.m.
  • Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
    Ian Shaw -- Wednesday, 10 October 2007, at 11:52 a.m.
  • Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
    MandM1951 -- Wednesday, 10 October 2007, at 12:17 p.m.
  • Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 10 October 2007, at 12:44 p.m.
  • Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 10 October 2007, at 2:28 p.m.
  • Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
    Jim Allen -- Wednesday, 10 October 2007, at 5:42 p.m.
  • Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
    Dave -- Wednesday, 10 October 2007, at 5:53 p.m.
  • Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
    Dan Pelton -- Wednesday, 10 October 2007, at 11:21 p.m.
  • Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
    lucky player -- Thursday, 11 October 2007, at 12:29 a.m.
  • Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
    Havard Raddum -- Thursday, 11 October 2007, at 2:03 a.m.
  • Wed. Oct. 10th - Cube
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 11 October 2007, at 2:29 a.m.
  • Rollout
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 11 October 2007, at 4:30 a.m.
    • Rollout
      lucky player -- Thursday, 11 October 2007, at 6:59 p.m.