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Daily Quiz 3/19 - Cleveland Positions: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 1 April 2012, at 1:50 a.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 3/19 - Cleveland Positions (Daily Quiz)

Good DQR candidate! I think that if I had spent more time analyzing this one, I would have seen that hitting was correct, but my radar wasn't up.





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 74
11 point match
pip: 107
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--CCBBa---A--A--aC-bd-bcb-:1:1:1:52:4:3:0:11:10
Blue to play 52

1.XG Roller+13/6* eq: -0.116
Player:
Opponent:
47.58% (G:7.53% B:0.18%)
52.42% (G:23.02% B:0.38%)
2.XG Roller+17/10eq: -0.371 (-0.255)
Player:
Opponent:
32.89% (G:1.88% B:0.04%)
67.11% (G:12.15% B:0.13%)
3.XG Roller+13/8 10/8eq: -0.485 (-0.368)
Player:
Opponent:
24.48% (G:0.76% B:0.02%)
75.52% (G:4.54% B:0.06%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Variant:





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 72
11 point match
pip: 107
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--CCBBa---A--A--aC-bbbbcb-:1:1:1:52:4:3:0:11:10
Blue to play 52

1.XG Roller+13/6* eq: -0.405
Player:
Opponent:
41.43% (G:5.76% B:0.14%)
58.57% (G:34.04% B:0.65%)
2.XG Roller+13/8 10/8eq: -0.544 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent:
22.46% (G:0.63% B:0.01%)
77.54% (G:5.28% B:0.06%)
3.XG Roller+17/10eq: -0.550 (-0.146)
Player:
Opponent:
28.68% (G:1.16% B:0.03%)
71.32% (G:18.71% B:0.14%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross


Another good DQR candidate. I did see that 18/15 18/14 was probably better than 18/11 but couldn't bring myself to leave that many shots since I didn't think Blue was that much of an underdog here.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 107
11 point match
pip: 68
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ECC--B-----d----bBbbbc---:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:11:10
Blue to play 43

1.XG Roller+18/15 18/14eq: -0.220
Player:
Opponent:
42.40% (G:1.42% B:0.01%)
57.60% (G:11.41% B:0.35%)
2.XG Roller+18/11eq: -0.268 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:
37.87% (G:2.79% B:0.01%)
62.13% (G:5.84% B:0.17%)
3.XG Roller+6/3 6/2eq: -0.336 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:
41.23% (G:1.86% B:0.01%)
58.77% (G:9.95% B:0.35%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross






White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 115
11 point match
pip: 110
score: 5

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bBB-CB-B-B-A--b-a-bcab-bA:0:0:-1:00:5:1:0:11:10
White on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 58.67% (G: 27.54% B: 0.58%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 41.33% (G: 12.63% B: 0.93%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.311
Double:+0.712
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.528 (-0.094)
Double/Take:+0.622
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.378)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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