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XGR++ and comments

Posted By: mtuhtan
Date: Wednesday, 4 April 2012, at 2:50 p.m.

In Response To: 6th roll, and some variants (mtuhtan)

This position was probably too obvious for most of you, but I blundered OTB.

It happened in a long match where I had big match lead so I've made an anchor.

I thought: I don't want to strip the midpoint and I want to move that third checker from 24pt, and anchoring on 21pt can't be wrong.
I bet that even Paul Weaver (the player with most blunders, according to posts here) can't make 0,200 blunder on 6th move.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 154
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 188
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BC-Ca--cCaa-c-e----CA:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/22 13/9* eq: +0,119
Player:
Opponent:
52,84% (G:17,42% B:1,18%)
47,16% (G:15,67% B:1,32%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 24/21eq: -0,089 (-0,208)
Player:
Opponent:
47,97% (G:12,56% B:0,47%)
52,03% (G:15,13% B:0,76%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 24/20eq: -0,249 (-0,368)
Player:
Opponent:
45,29% (G:11,82% B:0,59%)
54,71% (G:19,68% B:1,70%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/18eq: -0,275 (-0,395)
Player:
Opponent:
44,64% (G:11,55% B:0,54%)
55,36% (G:19,75% B:1,72%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 8/4eq: -0,280 (-0,399)
Player:
Opponent:
44,93% (G:11,80% B:0,52%)
55,07% (G:20,59% B:2,07%)



Variant 1 is obvious - even to me (no third checker on 24pt, hitting doesn't strip the midpoint), but I've posted it trying to make some QF for Variant 2.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 154
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 177
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BC-Ca--cDaa-c-e----BA:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/22 13/9* eq: +0,322
Player:
Opponent:
57,12% (G:18,93% B:1,19%)
42,88% (G:12,13% B:0,75%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 24/21eq: +0,050 (-0,272)
Player:
Opponent:
50,60% (G:13,60% B:0,48%)
49,40% (G:11,38% B:0,42%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/18eq: -0,111 (-0,433)
Player:
Opponent:
47,81% (G:12,68% B:0,57%)
52,19% (G:15,78% B:1,01%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/21 13/10eq: -0,116 (-0,438)
Player:
Opponent:
47,88% (G:13,34% B:0,63%)
52,12% (G:16,87% B:1,33%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/21 8/5eq: -0,135 (-0,457)
Player:
Opponent:
46,65% (G:13,37% B:0,59%)
53,35% (G:15,54% B:1,01%)



Variant 2 is what surprised me the most!

In the original position I was afraid to strip the midpoint, but it is still correct to hit even if you abandon your midpoint by doing that!!

I'm not sure I understand this.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 154
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 181
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BD-Ca--cBaa-c-e----CA:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43
1.xgXG Roller++Bar/22 13/9* eq: +0,048
Player:
Opponent:
50,76% (G:18,67% B:1,48%)
49,24% (G:16,96% B:1,63%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/21 24/21eq: -0,099 (-0,146)
Player:
Opponent:
47,03% (G:13,48% B:0,48%)
52,97% (G:14,51% B:0,75%)
3.XG Roller++Bar/22 24/20eq: -0,283 (-0,330)
Player:
Opponent:
43,88% (G:12,62% B:0,63%)
56,12% (G:19,13% B:1,66%)
4.XG Roller++Bar/18eq: -0,302 (-0,349)
Player:
Opponent:
43,43% (G:12,36% B:0,55%)
56,57% (G:19,09% B:1,68%)
5.XG Roller++Bar/22 8/4eq: -0,312 (-0,359)
Player:
Opponent:
43,52% (G:13,07% B:0,62%)
56,48% (G:20,75% B:2,11%)

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