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Daily Quiz 3/24: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 4 April 2012, at 5:24 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 3/24 (David Rennie)





White is Player 1

score: 1
pip: 146
11 point match
pip: 138
score: 2

Blue is Player 2
XGID=a-aABBCBa---cB----BcbbbA--:0:0:1:00:2:1:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 68.96% (G: 34.41% B: 2.18%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.04% (G: 10.32% B: 0.58%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.638
Double:+1.291
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.767 (-0.233)
Double/Take:+1.021 (+0.021)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 147
11 point match
pip: 128
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=bA-BBBBbA----Ba--BbbbbbA--:1:1:1:00:1:2:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 63.44% (G: 40.87% B: 2.75%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.56% (G: 11.19% B: 0.62%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.617
Redouble:+1.256
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.835 (-0.165)
Redouble/Take:+1.048 (+0.048)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

This one could be a good DQR candidate with the right variants. I'm often uncertain in these sorts of positions when I should start getting the back checkers moving.





White is Player 2

score: 6
pip: 121
11 point match
pip: 149
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=bB---BBC---A-A-bAaAcbbbBa-:1:-1:1:55:3:6:0:11:10
Blue to play 55

1.XG Roller+13/8 11/6 7/2(2)eq: +0.853
Player:
Opponent:		 70.34% (G:46.28% B:2.85%)
29.66% (G:12.22% B:1.23%)
2.XG Roller+23/18 13/8 7/2(2)eq: +0.794 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		 69.75% (G:44.00% B:2.66%)
30.25% (G:14.11% B:1.93%)
3.XG Roller+23/18 11/6 7/2(2)eq: +0.792 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		 69.92% (G:42.65% B:2.59%)
30.08% (G:12.80% B:1.25%)
4.XG Roller+16/6 7/2(2)eq: +0.769 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		 68.47% (G:43.04% B:2.68%)
31.53% (G:12.33% B:1.21%)
5.XG Roller+16/11 13/8 7/2(2)eq: +0.748 (-0.105)
Player:
Opponent:		 67.65% (G:43.27% B:2.66%)
32.35% (G:13.25% B:1.43%)
6.XG Roller+23/18 16/11 7/2(2)eq: +0.732 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		 68.53% (G:40.66% B:2.46%)
31.47% (G:13.50% B:1.26%)
7.XG Roller+23/18(2) 7/2(2)eq: +0.696 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		 68.25% (G:37.47% B:2.01%)
31.75% (G:11.47% B:0.77%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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