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Question for Stick

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Saturday, 13 October 2007, at 3:50 a.m.

In Response To: Question for Stick (Stick)

If that isn't some kind of inference I don't know what is...

The only inference being made seems to be by you. But it's not correct. Frank concluded that the neophyte would win the heads' up session about 25% of the time. No where does Frank write that this conclusion is based on the chance of one random hand winning one hand. The only time he even mentions the chance a random hand winning is when talks specifically about TT vs 2 random cards, and says TT wins about 75%.

How do get you get from those two mentions of 3:1 odds to saying that Frank must think that a random hand's chance against any other hand is at worst 25%?

I would need more info, such as the blinds, antes, stack sizes, how often the blinds were going up, etc...

Bob: Suppose each has 1 mil bankroll with blinds as 5000/10000.

Ok? Assume, I don't know, that they never go up. Or, to complicate things, that they double every hour.

what if the pro, being first to act, moves all in, what was the :cough: "raw beginner" taught to do now?

Is "raw beginner" in Frank's article? Never mind, it doesn't really matter. At most, two is the number of decisions that the neophyte with a pushmonkey strategy has to make: (a) what % of hands does he move all in with? (b) what percentage of hands does he call with if the pro moves all in? So the only poker knowledge the pushmonkey needs is to have memorized the hand ranking, and picked two numbers.

Messages In This Thread

• Question for Stick
  Chuck Bower -- Friday, 12 October 2007, at 5:02 p.m.
  • Bad link above -- see this
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 12 October 2007, at 5:20 p.m.
  • Question for Stick
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 12 October 2007, at 5:43 p.m.
    • Question for Stick
      Chuck Bower -- Friday, 12 October 2007, at 8:02 p.m.
      • Poker Terminology - "push-monkey"
        Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 12 October 2007, at 9:34 p.m.
  • Question for Stick
    Stick -- Friday, 12 October 2007, at 10:33 p.m.
    • Question for Stick
      bob koca -- Saturday, 13 October 2007, at 1:25 a.m.
      • Question for Stick
        Stick -- Saturday, 13 October 2007, at 1:32 a.m.
        • Question for Stick
          bob koca -- Saturday, 13 October 2007, at 1:53 a.m.
          • Question for Stick
            Stick -- Saturday, 13 October 2007, at 2:13 a.m.
            • Question for Stick
              bob koca -- Saturday, 13 October 2007, at 3:10 a.m.
        • Question for Stick
          Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 13 October 2007, at 1:57 a.m.
          • Question for Stick
            Stick -- Saturday, 13 October 2007, at 2:11 a.m.
            • Question for Stick
              Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 13 October 2007, at 3:50 a.m.
              • Question for Stick
                Stick -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 7:24 p.m.
                • Question for Stick
                  Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 7:38 p.m.
                • Question for Stick
                  bob koca -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 11:28 p.m.
            • Question for Stick
              Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 13 October 2007, at 2:04 p.m.
            • Cuttin' to the chase
              Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 13 October 2007, at 11:11 p.m.
              • Cuttin' to the chase
                Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 4:03 a.m.
                • Cuttin' to the chase
                  Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 4:17 a.m.
                  • Opinions and needles
                    Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 4:45 a.m.
                    • Opinions and needles
                      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 6:12 a.m.
                      • Opinions and needles
                        Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 7:53 a.m.
                    • Opinions and needles
                      Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 2:52 p.m.
                      • Opinions and needles
                        Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 5:56 p.m.
                  • Cuttin' to the chase
                    Stick -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 7:37 p.m.
                    • Cuttin' to the chase
                      Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 7:57 p.m.
                      • Cuttin' to the chase
                        Stick -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 8:01 p.m.
                        • Cuttin' to the chase
                          Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 8:46 p.m.
                • Cuttin' to the chase
                  bob koca -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 6:36 a.m.
                • Cuttin' to the chase
                  Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 2:48 p.m.
          • Question for Stick
            happyjuggler0 -- Saturday, 13 October 2007, at 2:11 a.m.
    • Question for Stick
      Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 13 October 2007, at 1:54 p.m.
      • Question for Stick
        Stick -- Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 7:19 p.m.