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61P-33B-61-s and 61P-33B-41-s, *Rollouts*

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 15 April 2012, at 6:15 p.m.

In Response To: 61P-33B-61 and 61P-33B-41 (Nack Ballard)

I almost forgot to do rollouts.

W (Wild, 24/18 6/5) is the best play even at (gammon) save, which suggests that it should be best at any score.

61P-33B-61 s[W $9 U16] <=10*6

61P-33B-41 s[W U8] <=10

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 155 2 point match Crawford pip: 160 score: 1 Blue is Player 1
XGID=----b-EBB---cD-b-c-e----B-:0:0:1:16:1:0:1:2:10
61P-33B-61-s

1.	Rollout1	24/18 6/5	eq: -0.415
	Player: Opponent: 45.72% (G:11.88% B:1.25%) 54.28% (G:16.47% B:1.40%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.418...-0.412) - [100.0%] Duration: 3 hours 24 minutes
2.	Rollout1	13/7 6/5	eq: -0.424 (-0.009)
	Player: Opponent: 44.03% (G:12.60% B:1.13%) 55.97% (G:15.26% B:1.51%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.427...-0.422) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 01 minute
3.	Rollout2	24/23 24/18	eq: -0.431 (-0.016)
	Player: Opponent: 44.79% (G:11.17% B:0.95%) 55.21% (G:16.35% B:0.85%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.435...-0.428) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 31 minutes
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 1961976 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 6480 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 1961976 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 155 2 point match Crawford pip: 160 score: 1 Blue is Player 1
XGID=----b-EBB---cD-b-c-e----B-:0:0:1:41:1:0:1:2:10
61P-33B-41-s

1.	Rollout1	24/20 6/5	eq: -0.430
	Player: Opponent: 43.98% (G:11.48% B:1.14%) 56.02% (G:15.47% B:1.33%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.433...-0.427) - [100.0%] Duration: 6 hours 52 minutes
2.	Rollout1	24/23 24/20	eq: -0.438 (-0.008)
	Player: Opponent: 43.51% (G:11.47% B:1.00%) 56.49% (G:15.41% B:1.00%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.441...-0.435) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 hours 37 minutes
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 49284781 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• An interesting blunder
  RobertFontaine -- Saturday, 7 April 2012, at 4:01 p.m.
  • 61P-33B-61-d
    Stick -- Saturday, 7 April 2012, at 4:09 p.m.
  • 61P-33B-61 and 61P-33B-41
    Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 7 April 2012, at 6:36 p.m.
    • 61P-33B-61-s and 61P-33B-41-s, *Rollouts*
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 15 April 2012, at 6:15 p.m.