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51$-62$-61 RO (at the score -5-5)

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Tuesday, 17 April 2012, at 5:59 a.m.

In Response To: 51$-62$-61 (Daniel Murphy)

From the 2012 Nordic Open final, first match, fourth game.

The score is: Shahab 2, Thomas 2 (match to 7 points)

Move number 3: Shahab to play 61

Shahab161

2O ' ' '1X4X '4X ' ' '4O

2X ' ' '1O5O '3O ' ' '4X
Thomas159
Position ID: 0OfgATDQ8+ABMA Match ID: MAHnACAAEAAE

• Shahab moves 13/7 6/5

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.004)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/18 6/5 +0.2200
0.55700.15410.0107-0.44300.14030.0060 +0.1366 +0.2200
0.00120.00160.0011-0.00120.00140.0007 0.0038 0.0083
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2248 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 916516960 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 13/7 6/5 +0.2159 ( -0.0040)
0.54820.17720.0106-0.45180.13970.0091 +0.1509 +0.2159
0.00130.00160.0007-0.00130.00180.0007 0.0041 0.0096
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2245 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 916516960 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 13/7 8/7 +0.0844 ( -0.1356)
0.52330.15300.0102-0.47670.14450.0124 +0.0619 +0.0844
0.00310.00280.0020-0.00310.00350.0028 0.0095 0.0291
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
662 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 916516960 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Play Natanzon's commentary
Shahab 51: 13/8 6/5 [talking about Shahab's drops in game 1 (which was clear and correct) and game 3 (which was not)]
Thomas 62: 13/5 All right, what is that, 62 slots! Oh that's not book, that's completely out of book. It's not the worst. I think typically you just come out and play 2 down with a 62. That's a mistake....
Shahab 61: 13/7 6/5 Oh no no no, that's an overplay with the 6, you're supposed to come out.

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