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Opinions and needles

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Sunday, 14 October 2007, at 6:12 a.m.

In Response To: Opinions and needles (Daniel Murphy)

The trivial case: blinds are equal to the stack size - 1. Moving all-in with any hand is what any player outside of the ALWAYS-FOLD program would do (ignoring the case where a player calls, loses down to one chip, and then wins the tournament). Since Stick and beginner follow the same strategy, beginner is 50%. Similar reasoning with blinds that are 2/3 of the stack size, etc.

I have no idea how Marv got his numbers, but they sound semi-reasonable. I don't have the numbers for BG, but the ELO system ought to make it calculable.

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