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43D-51$-31 and 54D-51$-31 *** Rollouts ***

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Friday, 20 April 2012, at 7:52 a.m.

In Response To: 43D-51$-31 and 54D-51$-31 (Paul Weaver)

This post contains rollouts for 43D-51$-31. Rollouts for 54D-51$-31 can be found here.


Summary: 43D-51$-31

Money [P H11] "<=20
Double Match Point d[P H16] "<=5
Gammon Go g[P H59] "<=5
Gammon Save s[H P12] "<=5

Key: H = Hit (24/20*), P = Point (8/5, 6/5)

Summary Money DMP GG GS Explanation of nacbracs


Money: 43D-51$-31 [P H11] "<=20





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 161
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-CAA-dC---d-da---B-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31
1.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: +0.2183
Player:
Opponent:
54.67% (G:19.27% B:1.01%)
45.33% (G:13.51% B:0.80%)
Conf.: ±0.0041 (+0.2143...+0.2224) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 03 minutes
2.Rollout124/20* eq: +0.2070 (-0.0113)
Player:
Opponent:
54.03% (G:17.87% B:1.21%)
45.97% (G:11.46% B:0.59%)
Conf.: ±0.0046 (+0.2024...+0.2116) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 hours 28 minutes
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Summary Money DMP GG GS Explanation of nacbracs


Double Match Point: 43D-51$-31 d[P H16] "<=5





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 161
1 point match
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-CAA-dC---d-da---B-:0:0:1:31:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 31
1.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: +0.0880
Player:
Opponent:
54.40% (G:21.47% B:3.19%)
45.60% (G:14.99% B:2.37%)
Conf.: ±0.0030 (+0.0850...+0.0910) - [100.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 50 seconds
2.Rollout124/20* eq: +0.0720 (-0.0160)
Player:
Opponent:
53.60% (G:21.69% B:4.39%)
46.40% (G:12.87% B:1.93%)
Conf.: ±0.0036 (+0.0684...+0.0755) - [0.0%]
Duration: 39 minutes 12 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 72064793
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Summary Money DMP GG GS Explanation of nacbracs


Gammon Go: 43D-51$-31 g[P H59] "<=5





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 161
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-CAA-dC---d-da---B-:0:0:1:31:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 31
1.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: +0.4792
Player:
Opponent:
55.01% (G:18.95% B:2.51%)
44.99% (G:15.49% B:2.66%)
Conf.: ±0.0041 (+0.4750...+0.4833) - [100.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 56 seconds
2.Rollout124/20* eq: +0.4201 (-0.0591)
Player:
Opponent:
55.17% (G:15.83% B:3.04%)
44.83% (G:12.46% B:1.91%)
Conf.: ±0.0043 (+0.4158...+0.4244) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 30 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 60956724
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Summary Money DMP GG GS Explanation of nacbracs


Gammon Save: 43D-51$-31 s[H P12] "<=5





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 161
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 160
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-CAA-dC---d-da---B-:0:0:1:31:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 31
1.Rollout124/20* eq: -0.1727
Player:
Opponent:
53.14% (G:22.41% B:4.29%)
46.86% (G:11.77% B:1.45%)
Conf.: ±0.0045 (-0.1772...-0.1683) - [100.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 37 seconds
2.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: -0.1849 (-0.0122)
Player:
Opponent:
54.09% (G:21.07% B:3.24%)
45.91% (G:13.34% B:2.07%)
Conf.: ±0.0041 (-0.1890...-0.1809) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 41 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 72064793
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Summary Money DMP GG GS Explanation of nacbracs


Paul rolled this for unlimited games. I did the at-score rollouts.

Mike

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