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Daily Quiz 4/11: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 20 April 2012, at 11:57 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 4/11 (Daily Quiz)





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 158
7 point match
Crawford
pip: 160
score: 6

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----EBB-a-eD---c-e----B-:0:0:1:44:6:3:1:7:10
Blue to play 44

1.XG Roller+24/16(2)eq: +0.266
Player:
Opponent:
65.82% (G:11.68% B:0.35%)
34.18% (G:4.94% B:0.13%)
2.XG Roller+24/20(2) 13/9(2)eq: +0.223 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:
63.59% (G:16.45% B:0.50%)
36.41% (G:4.75% B:0.17%)
3.XG Roller+24/20(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.194 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:
62.26% (G:18.21% B:0.48%)
37.74% (G:5.02% B:0.18%)
4.XG Roller+24/20(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.171 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:
61.11% (G:16.21% B:0.40%)
38.89% (G:5.00% B:0.18%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

For money:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 158
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----EBB-a-eD---c-e----B-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 44

1.XG Roller+24/20(2) 13/9(2)eq: +0.582
Player:
Opponent:
63.28% (G:17.34% B:0.42%)
36.72% (G:4.89% B:0.18%)
2.XG Roller+24/16(2)eq: +0.565 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
65.84% (G:11.12% B:0.23%)
34.16% (G:4.70% B:0.13%)
3.XG Roller+24/20(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.542 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:
62.01% (G:18.64% B:0.39%)
37.99% (G:4.93% B:0.19%)
4.XG Roller+24/20(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.485 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:
61.13% (G:16.89% B:0.35%)
38.87% (G:5.12% B:0.18%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21


The cube action is meaningless here but it was the simplest way to get the computer to produce an estimated win percentage. Since the cube is dead here the pseudocubeless wins should be the same as actual wins.





White is Player 2

score: 5
pip: 109
7 point match
pip: 55
score: 6

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ADFbBa--B--------abbbbba-:1:1:1:00:6:5:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 57.64% (G: 11.53% B: 0.12%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 42.36% (G: 6.18% B: 0.19%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.153
Redouble:+0.153
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.153
Redouble/Take:+0.153
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.847)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 137
1 point match
pip: 178
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B-BBcB---c-Ba-b-bABBbb-:0:0:1:12:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 12

1.XG Roller+20/18 5/4eq: -0.011
Player:
Opponent:
49.47% (G:14.17% B:0.61%)
50.53% (G:20.47% B:0.81%)
2.XG Roller+21/20 8/6eq: -0.023 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
48.83% (G:13.94% B:0.53%)
51.17% (G:18.54% B:0.67%)
3.XG Roller+8/5eq: -0.024 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
48.79% (G:14.52% B:0.62%)
51.21% (G:19.48% B:0.79%)
4.XG Roller+20/18 14/13eq: -0.032 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
48.39% (G:13.00% B:0.64%)
51.61% (G:26.12% B:1.14%)
5.XG Roller+14/11eq: -0.033 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:
48.35% (G:13.70% B:0.66%)
51.65% (G:23.20% B:1.10%)
6.XG Roller+8/6 5/4eq: -0.033 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:
48.33% (G:13.90% B:0.61%)
51.67% (G:23.05% B:1.08%)
7.XG Roller+22/21 22/20eq: -0.033 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:
48.33% (G:13.50% B:0.47%)
51.67% (G:14.80% B:0.38%)
8.XG Roller+6/4 5/4eq: -0.039 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:
48.06% (G:13.56% B:0.54%)
51.94% (G:20.54% B:0.81%)
9.XG Roller+22/20 14/13eq: -0.048 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:
47.59% (G:13.22% B:0.55%)
52.41% (G:21.60% B:0.72%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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