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OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 21 April 2012, at 11:26 p.m.

In Response To: Lopsided match cube from Vegas (neilkaz)

OTB I was certain that I was slightly over 80% cubeless here so I cubed since my opp was playing quite well and I wanted to end quickly to watch the hockey game. I was unsure whether it was technically a take or a drop..I didn't have to do any math to know to send it..simple decision for me..definately over 80%..technically a good double.

My opp took as expected and I soon got to watch the Blackhawks lose again.





White is Player 2

score: 5
pip: 124
15 point match
pip: 96
score: 13

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--ABBbC-CBB-b----abbbbb---:0:0:1:00:13:5:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 81.509% (G:2.868% B:0.007%) 82.101% (G:6.114% B:0.023%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 18.491% (G:0.950% B:0.023%) 17.899% (G:1.038% B:0.034%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.6619 +1.6138
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.9175 (-0.0825)±0.0043 (+0.9132..+0.9218)
Double/Take:+1.0538 (+0.0538)±0.0132 (+1.0406..+1.0670)
Double/Pass:+1.0000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 18 minutes 58 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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