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I blunderd wil you ?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Thursday, 26 April 2012, at 6:35 a.m.

In Response To: I blunderd wil you ? (Sebastiaan Kuijs)

I think your choices are (a) don't hit -- the only good play of this type I see is 11/5 7/4(2), or (b) hit twice -- 7/1* 4/1 6/3* has to be better than 7/1* 7/4 6/3* (which keeps a broken 4-prime but double blots giving 20 return hits) or (c) hit once (on the 3 point) -- 11/8 7/4(2) 6/3* looks strong, leaves fewer returns than 11/5 7/4 6/3*, and a blot less and slightly better distribution than 8/5 6/3* 7/4(2) (the 11 point blot wouldn't have much to do). I'd eliminate (a) as too weak -- Opp only has 5 bad returns, everything else can run or anchor or make the bar point. Between (b) and (c) the double hit should be better on returns that fan or enter one checker, but a lot worse on the hitting returns (although there are only 11 after the double hit and 15 after the single hit). I'd opt for (c).

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