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limited choices for this 5-5 against a backgame (rollout)

Posted By: David Levy
Date: Friday, 27 April 2012, at 2:59 a.m.

In Response To: limited choices for this 5-5 against a backgame (David Levy)

I thoughtlessly cleared the 11 point and was shocked to see how bad a play it was. It does seem odd to put a second checker behind the two anchors, but as has been pointed out, there are only two shots and it gives a lot of extra flexibility. I give away so much equity on big doubles...sigh.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 169
7 point match
pip: 110
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--bb-BECB--Ca-aa-aabbb----:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 55

1.Rollout111/1(2)eq: -0.040
Player:
Opponent:
45.80% (G:18.10% B:0.88%)
54.20% (G:10.57% B:0.49%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.056...-0.025) - [100.0%]
Duration: 51 minutes 30 seconds
2.Rollout111/1 6/1(2)eq: -0.078 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:
45.01% (G:17.40% B:0.65%)
54.99% (G:11.27% B:0.50%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.093...-0.063) - [0.0%]
Duration: 39 minutes 31 seconds
3.Rollout111/6(2) 11/1eq: -0.209 (-0.169)
Player:
Opponent:
42.03% (G:16.56% B:0.69%)
57.97% (G:11.81% B:0.53%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.225...-0.193) - [0.0%]
Duration: 43 minutes 07 seconds
4.Rollout16/1(4)eq: -0.702 (-0.662)
Player:
Opponent:
32.41% (G:12.59% B:0.52%)
67.59% (G:19.73% B:0.85%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.717...-0.688) - [0.0%]
Duration: 47 minutes 41 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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