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Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Saturday, 28 April 2012, at 3:15 p.m.

In Response To: 21 for the Connoisseur? (Mr Majestyk)

How should White have played 21? U (Bar/22) wins by .005 over @ (B/23 24/23) for Money in this rollout pair. I believe U should be played at DMP, U if trailing in a match and @ if leading.

		White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 155 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 144 score: 0 Blue is Player 2
XGID=--b-BBB-CA--dC---c-ccB----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	69.44% (G:15.91% B:0.66%)	69.59% (G:16.38% B:0.70%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	30.56% (G:5.90% B:0.22%)	30.41% (G:5.95% B:0.23%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.493	+1.002
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.748 (-0.026)	±0.002 (+0.745..+0.750)
Double/Take:	+0.774	±0.003 (+0.771..+0.777)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.226)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 11 hours 21 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

		White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 155 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 144 score: 0 Blue is Player 2
XGID=-a-aBBB-CA--dC---c-ccB----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	66.67% (G:22.98% B:0.83%)	66.50% (G:25.06% B:0.86%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	33.33% (G:6.96% B:0.27%)	33.50% (G:7.24% B:0.30%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.499	+1.028
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.734 (-0.035)	±0.002 (+0.732..+0.737)
Double/Take:	+0.769	±0.003 (+0.766..+0.772)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.231)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 11 hours 20 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Messages In This Thread

• 21 for the Connoisseur?
  Mr Majestyk -- Friday, 27 April 2012, at 10:52 a.m.
  • 21 for the Connoisseur?
    Casper van der Tak -- Friday, 27 April 2012, at 12:33 p.m.
  • 21 for the Connoisseur?
    ah_clem -- Friday, 27 April 2012, at 3:04 p.m.
  • 21 for the Connoisseur?
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 27 April 2012, at 5:01 p.m.
  • Rollout Results Posted
    Paul Weaver -- Saturday, 28 April 2012, at 3:15 p.m.
    • Rollout Results Posted
      Mr Majestyk -- Saturday, 28 April 2012, at 6:07 p.m.
  • 21 for the Connoisseur? RO at GS
    Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 30 April 2012, at 6:45 p.m.
    • 21 for the Connoisseur? RO at GG
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 2 May 2012, at 5:57 p.m.