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Would you do it OtB?

Posted By: svilo
Date: Sunday, 29 April 2012, at 8:05 p.m.

In Response To: Would you do it OtB? (Dmitriy Obukhov)

The problem is YOU DONT HIT HIM. Also you give not one, but two new blots. You may hit him sometime. Perhaps the clue is the "spirit of the position". As GG, he will hit you lose with 1s 2s and 43 52 - 2/3 of the time . You will hit back 30% of the time AND COVER VERY OFTEN. You need him to dance 50% of the time with 2 open points. You need to leap 30% of the time, (multiplying gives 5%) and win from there. He will have lifted the barpoint blot with any number. So you have to win against 2 blots - one under attack and the other on your 11.

But he can also cover the barpoint with 7s and even 1s since the gammon price is so low. I am not sure whether covering the bar if better than hitting lose on the ace with 7s. Probably covering is better, waiting for 1s and 2s, but there is not much time to wait - white's timing is over and black's board improving. That makes me hit with 7's on the ace. I like the position and the solution as "beautiful" just because I cannot conceive it, judge it right. Especially on the board.

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