As you see, the 23 anchor is best, and the choice between 7/3 or 8/4 is close.
(Sorry about the misleading LF, Casper.)
I came in on the 21 and made the 5 without much thought. White's one-point board with blot on ace did not seem threatening. Just spread em out and make the best point.
I guess all that wood is coming down on us soon enough. And once we make the anchor, we'll have some time to build the board. But I still don't "see" it.
Can anyone give a clearer reason why the anchor is so necessary that might help my vision in the future?
        
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 3
pip: 123 | | 7 point match | pip: 152
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--A--ADCB---b--d-dBd---AaA:0:0:1:42:0:3:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 42 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 7/3 | eq: -0.625 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 34.65% (G:7.38% B:0.21%)
65.35% (G:13.33% B:1.01%) | Conf.: ± 0.030 (-0.655...-0.595) - [86.5%]
Duration: 9 minutes 38 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 8/4 | eq: -0.656 (-0.031) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 34.22% (G:7.33% B:0.17%)
65.78% (G:13.61% B:1.26%) | Conf.: ± 0.035 (-0.691...-0.620) - [9.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 21 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 6/2 | eq: -0.663 (-0.037) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.74% (G:7.19% B:0.19%)
66.26% (G:12.68% B:1.68%) | Conf.: ± 0.034 (-0.697...-0.628) - [4.5%]
Duration: 8 minutes 08 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 7/5 | eq: -0.713 (-0.087) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.14% (G:6.86% B:0.16%)
66.86% (G:15.85% B:0.33%) | Conf.: ± 0.036 (-0.748...-0.677) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 36 seconds |
|
| 5. | 2-ply | Bar/21 23/21 | eq: -0.615 (+0.010) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 31.40% (G:3.37% B:0.08%)
68.60% (G:6.51% B:0.11%) | |
|
| |
1 216 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2