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Help me understand this tactical play (Rollout)

Posted By: Jeremy Bagai
Date: Thursday, 3 May 2012, at 2:19 a.m.

In Response To: Help me understand this tactical play (Jeremy Bagai)

Thanks for your helpful comments.
I think I counted immediate shots, and neglected the obligation of covering on the next roll when you are fortunate enough to be missed on the first.





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 117
7 point match
pip: 118
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aA-BBaB-BBAAb-----Bcbbbb--:1:-1:1:61:2:4:0:7:10
Blue to play 61

1.Rollout18/1eq: +0.174
Player:
Opponent:		53.46% (G:26.05% B:0.34%)
46.54% (G:26.65% B:2.30%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.166...+0.182) - [100.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 02 seconds
2.Rollout111/5* 5/4eq: +0.015 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent:		49.76% (G:20.32% B:0.29%)
50.24% (G:27.23% B:2.14%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.006...+0.024) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 46 seconds
3.1-ply11/5* 6/5eq: -0.082 (-0.256)
Player:
Opponent:		46.97% (G:16.93% B:0.54%)
53.03% (G:36.23% B:2.78%)
4.1-ply11/5* 10/9eq: -0.093 (-0.267)
Player:
Opponent:		46.72% (G:15.39% B:0.54%)
53.28% (G:30.81% B:1.63%)
5.1-ply11/5* 9/8eq: -0.120 (-0.294)
Player:
Opponent:		46.17% (G:16.31% B:0.53%)
53.83% (G:40.26% B:4.57%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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