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Daily Quiz 4/13 - Vegas Positions: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 8 May 2012, at 12:42 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 4/13 - Vegas Positions (Daily Quiz)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 175
7 point match
pip: 144
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaB--aCBB---dD--Ac-e----A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 67.54% (G: 30.19% B: 2.04%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.46% (G: 6.76% B: 0.29%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.609
Double:+1.248
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.824 (-0.176)
Double/Take:+1.000
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.000)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 105
7 point match
pip: 56
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-FC-aBB-a--B-----b-cdac---:2:1:1:00:0:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 73.56% (G: 7.61% B: 0.04%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.44% (G: 2.97% B: 0.15%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.513
Redouble:+0.909
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.726 (-0.183)
Redouble/Take:+0.909
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.091)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

I suspect that this is actually a pass. XGR+ (especially version 1) typically underestimates how strong these sorts of positions are.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 65
15 point match
pip: 172
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=a-B-BBBa-------A-AAA-AdeB-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 80.37% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 19.63% (G: 9.70% B: 1.02%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.496
Redouble:+0.976
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.872 (-0.021)
Redouble/Take:+0.893
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.107)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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