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Rollouts

Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Tuesday, 15 May 2012, at 7:49 a.m.

In Response To: You'll do well to estimate these Gammons! (Mr Majestyk)

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 119 5 point match pip: 118 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=a---CCC-C---bB-b---dc-cA--:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:5:10 Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 70.67% (G:22.09% B:0.55%) 70.65% (G:23.34% B:0.66%) Opponent Winning Chances: 29.33% (G:6.80% B:0.28%) 29.35% (G:7.35% B:0.41%) Cubeless Equities +0.557 +1.196 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.796 (-0.196) ±0.005 (+0.791..+0.801) Double/Take: +0.992 ±0.007 (+0.985..+0.999) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.008) Best Cube action: Double / Take Rollout details 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 40020773 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 99.2% Duration: 21 minutes 03 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 95 5 point match pip: 112 score: 0 Blue is Player 2 XGID=aBBAC-BAA---bB-b---ccAb-b-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:0:5:10 Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 53.87% (G:27.33% B:2.50%) 53.91% (G:26.43% B:2.78%) Opponent Winning Chances: 46.13% (G:14.44% B:0.19%) 46.09% (G:12.89% B:0.15%) Cubeless Equities +0.271 +0.325 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +0.388 ±0.007 (+0.381..+0.395) Redouble/Take: +0.096 (-0.292) ±0.010 (+0.086..+0.105) Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.612) Best Cube action: No redouble / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 24.4% Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 40020773 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 5 minutes 11 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

White is Player 1 score: 2 pip: 122 5 point match pip: 173 score: 0 Blue is Player 2 XGID=bBBBcBC-------A--bbbbbAB--:0:0:-1:00:2:0:0:5:10 Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 71.57% (G:21.30% B:0.64%) 70.51% (G:23.13% B:0.99%) Opponent Winning Chances: 28.43% (G:16.87% B:1.12%) 29.49% (G:18.05% B:1.71%) Cubeless Equities +0.403 +1.031 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.787 (-0.213) ±0.016 (+0.771..+0.802) Double/Take: +1.000 (+0.000) ±0.024 (+0.976..+1.025) Double/Pass: +1.000 Best Cube action: Double / Pass Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 40020773 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 51.4% Duration: 12 minutes 53 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

NBM

Messages In This Thread

• You'll do well to estimate these Gammons!
  Mr Majestyk -- Monday, 14 May 2012, at 11:24 a.m.
  • Rollouts
    Mr Majestyk -- Tuesday, 15 May 2012, at 7:49 a.m.
  • You'll do well to estimate these Gammons!
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 15 May 2012, at 1:43 p.m.