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Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Tuesday, 15 May 2012, at 6:08 p.m.

In Response To: Prime-vs-No-Prime: Cube Action With Variation (Paul Weaver)

Position 1.





White is DonZampano

score: 0
pip: 141
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 150
score: 0

Blue is SKIP
XGID=-b--BBCB----dD----ac-c-bB-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 71.65% (G:25.01% B:1.74%) 71.67% (G:26.31% B:1.95%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.35% (G:8.56% B:0.53%) 28.33% (G:8.82% B:0.54%)
Cubeless Equities +0.610 +1.245
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.852 (-0.148)±0.011 (+0.841..+0.863)
Double/Take:+1.037 (+0.037)±0.020 (+1.017..+1.057)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 6 minutes 53 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Position 2.





White is DonZampano

score: 0
pip: 141
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is SKIP
XGID=-b---BCBB---dD----ac-c-bB-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 65.93% (G:19.92% B:1.21%) 65.87% (G:20.28% B:1.12%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.07% (G:11.18% B:0.66%) 34.13% (G:11.21% B:0.66%)
Cubeless Equities +0.411 +0.826
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.620±0.033 (+0.587..+0.653)
Double/Take:+0.562 (-0.058)±0.040 (+0.523..+0.602)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.380)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.7%
Rollout details
372 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:98.6%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 51 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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