      
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 4
pip: 191 | | 5 point match | pip: 65
score: 3
Blue is Player 1 |
| | XGID=adCBCCBB----b----bbb----b-:1:-1:1:11:3:4:0:5:10 | | Blue to play 11 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 7/6 7/4 | eq: +0.6306 | | Player:
Opponent: | 81.53% (G:67.94% B:50.57%)
18.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ±0.0046 (+0.6260...+0.6351) - [93.3%]
Duration: 6 minutes 41 seconds |
| | 2. | Rollout1 | 7/6(2) 5/3 | eq: +0.6258 (-0.0047) | | Player:
Opponent: | 81.29% (G:67.50% B:48.81%)
18.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ±0.0042 (+0.6217...+0.6300) - [6.7%]
Duration: 6 minutes 33 seconds |
| | 3. | Rollout2 | 7/5(2) | eq: +0.6163 (-0.0142) | | Player:
Opponent: | 80.82% (G:68.05% B:48.26%)
19.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ±0.0069 (+0.6094...+0.6232) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 18 seconds |
| | 4. | Rollout2 | 7/6 7/5 4/3 | eq: +0.6151 (-0.0155) | | Player:
Opponent: | 80.75% (G:67.63% B:48.04%)
19.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ±0.0069 (+0.6081...+0.6220) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 01 second |
| | 5. | Rollout2 | 7/3 | eq: +0.6135 (-0.0171) | | Player:
Opponent: | 80.67% (G:66.46% B:48.69%)
19.33% (G:0.14% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ±0.0064 (+0.6071...+0.6199) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 38 seconds |
| | 6. | Rollout2 | 7/6 5/3 4/3 | eq: +0.6123 (-0.0183) | | Player:
Opponent: | 80.61% (G:66.93% B:46.00%)
19.39% (G:0.15% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ±0.0068 (+0.6055...+0.6191) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 44 seconds |
| | 7. | Rollout2 | 6/5 6/3 | eq: +0.6095 (-0.0211) | | Player:
Opponent: | 80.47% (G:64.88% B:44.38%)
19.53% (G:0.28% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ±0.0062 (+0.6033...+0.6157) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 17 seconds |
| | 8. | Rollout2 | 7/5 6/5(2) | eq: +0.6026 (-0.0280) | | Player:
Opponent: | 80.13% (G:64.87% B:44.18%)
19.87% (G:0.19% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ±0.0069 (+0.5957...+0.6095) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 54 seconds |
| | 9. | Rollout2 | 6/4(2) | eq: +0.6020 (-0.0286) | | Player:
Opponent: | 80.10% (G:64.76% B:44.30%)
19.90% (G:0.16% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ±0.0059 (+0.5961...+0.6079) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 49 seconds |
| | | 1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 83501447
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 83501447
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Rollout by Taper_Mike
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
Flashcard PositionID 000542.xgp
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
Thanks for posting a very interesting position, Gary. I would have made the mistake of moving 7/5(2), under the theory that Blue needs extra fives to play while he is waiting to clear the 6pt. I suspect that a nasty doublet 55 is the only flaw in my reasoning.
While this rollout is not entirely conclusive, it decisively overturns the odd moves that the GnuBg eval produced. If anyone would be willing to extend the rollout, I will happily forward the XG file.
Mike |