          
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 151 | Money session
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 154
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-abA-BB-C--AbD---bbc-Bb-a-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in XG Roller+ |
| Player Winning Chances: | 67.16% (G: 19.80% B: 1.03%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 32.84% (G: 8.24% B: 0.23%) |
| |
| Cubeless Equities |
| No Double: | +0.343 |
| Double: | +0.920 |
| |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No Double: | +0.715 |
| Double/Take: | +0.695 (-0.020) |
| Double/Drop: | +1.000 (+0.285) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No Double / Take |
| |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
After 18/11*, I grossly overestimated how often White would win a gammon and somewhat overestimated how often Blue would win. But I was pretty close in estimating that 8/2 3/2 would lose fewer gammons by about 10 percentage points.
 
    
| | White is Player 2
score: 7
pip: 114 | | 11 point match | pip: 97
score: 9
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---CCDBbA--ab-----Bbbbb-b-:1:1:1:61:9:7:0:11:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 8/2 3/2 | eq: -0.029 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.16% (G:13.13% B:0.27%)
44.84% (G:6.60% B:0.19%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 8/2 5/4 | eq: -0.158 (-0.129) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.27% (G:12.13% B:0.29%)
48.73% (G:9.17% B:0.33%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 8/1 | eq: -0.163 (-0.134) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.95% (G:11.92% B:0.29%)
49.05% (G:9.11% B:0.29%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 18/11* | eq: -0.183 (-0.154) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.82% (G:26.04% B:0.70%)
43.18% (G:15.97% B:1.02%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | 8/2 4/3 | eq: -0.184 (-0.155) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.45% (G:11.13% B:0.24%)
49.55% (G:9.63% B:0.34%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
At DMP, I would have thought that hitting would be clearer than this.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 114 | | 1 point match | pip: 97
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---CCDBbA--ab-----Bbbbb-b-:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:1:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 18/11* | eq: +0.139 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.93% (G:27.70% B:0.63%)
43.07% (G:15.55% B:0.94%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 8/2 3/2 | eq: +0.093 (-0.045) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.67% (G:11.53% B:0.26%)
45.33% (G:5.18% B:0.15%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
A huge misjudgment on my part and a good DQR candidate I think.
   
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 83 | Money session
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 87
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-BBBBbC---B---AA---bcaacc-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in XG Roller+ |
| Player Winning Chances: | 68.89% (G: 6.48% B: 0.28%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 31.11% (G: 1.04% B: 0.01%) |
| |
| Cubeless Equities |
| No Double: | +0.378 |
| Double: | +0.867 |
| |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No Double: | +0.693 |
| Double/Take: | +0.678 (-0.014) |
| Double/Drop: | +1.000 (+0.307) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No Double / Take |
| |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
Variant:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 83 | Money session
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 78
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-BBBBbD---B---A----bcaacc-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in XG Roller+ |
| Player Winning Chances: | 75.68% (G: 3.27% B: 0.08%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 24.32% (G: 0.44% B: 0.01%) |
| |
| Cubeless Equities |
| No Double: | +0.514 |
| Double: | +1.110 |
| |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No Double: | +0.870 (-0.087) |
| Double/Take: | +0.956 |
| Double/Drop: | +1.000 (+0.044) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take |
| |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21